Rapid Insights: Arcane

Based on the popular League of Legends video games, Netflix’s complex new animated series leans hard into its fantasy-action origins and boasts gorgeous fight sequences in exquisite CGI detail. With so much to offer, the show has become a monster global hit.

Here’s what you need to know about Arcane:

Why did this particular video game-based series blow up?
It brings in a broader audience. Unlike similar animated shows like Dota: Dragon’s Blood and Resident Evil: Infinite Darkness that skew heavily to older men, Arcane’s two badass female protagonists and focus on character growth engage more women (41% female).

How did Netflix’s drawn-out release strategy impact the show?
It helped maintain strong social buzz. Releasing three episodes weekly has kept the series at the top of the conversation rankings longer than other late-2021 Netflix shows with a full season drop, such as ClickbaitYou, and Outer Banks.

Does Arcane succeed in developing multi-dimensional characters?
Unquestionably. Vi’s grief and Heroism (126) in the face of her Missing Loved One (149)–sister Jinx has crossed over to the dark side–and their ongoing clashes of good vs. evil are keeping viewers glued to their seats.

Why has Arcane performed so well internationally?
Universal concepts layered onto action. Vi’s heroic determination is the biggest rating driver abroad; beyond that, themes of family resonate in Europe and LatAm (e.g. UK, Spain, and Mexico), while the battle between good and evil stands out for Asia (e.g. Japan and South Korea).

Does its video game origins help or hurt the show’s accessibility?
Help, but only in support of a bigger story. Arcane’s IP Extension (116) is an important component of its bingeability and ratings, but the series’ lasting success hangs on the complicated Family Relationships (127)  coupled with the Stylized Action & Violence (109) of its state-of-the-art CGI.

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Rapid Insights: Dexter: New Blood

Rapid Insights: Dexter: Still Killing It

Picking up ten years after the serial killer drama’s original finale, Showtime’s new Dexter revival premiered to strong ratings and set a streaming record for the channel. Here’s what you need to know about Dexter: New Blood:

Has the audience changed since the show’s first incarnation?
No. Viewers for New Blood tend to be older women (56% female / 83% 35+), a near-perfect reflection of the original as well as similar murder dramas Bates Motel and Hannibal.

What is the impact of Dexter’s move from Miami to a small town in New York?
Increased bingeability. Watching Dexter try to hide within Small Town Life (126) instead of the big city’s anonymity ups the stakes and suspense and keeps viewers coming back for more.

How important are New Blood’s ties to the original version of the show?
Crucial. The revival’s longevity depends on its IP Extension (129), and the inclusion of sister Deb, son Harrison, and Dexter’s Dark Passenger from the earlier series make New Blood feel more like a continuation than a reboot.

Has Dexter’s evolution influenced why viewers keep watching?
Yes. While the character remains key for bingeability, audiences originally cheered him on as an identifiable Antihero (123); now, they’re intrigued to see how his Mysterious Background (141) is revealed.

What does New Blood bring to the table for brand new viewers?
A more ominous tone. Where Dexter often leaned into its crime procedural elements (reading as Crime (133) and Mystery (130)), New Blood takes more risks with the genre, deepening its air of foreboding (and landing instead as Horror (137) and Mystery (128)).

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Rapid Insights: Yellowstone

Kevin Costner’s neo-western just returned for Season 4 and its premiere was the Paramount Network’s most-watched series, also maxing out Vault’s social buzz tracker (160) every week since its launch.

Here’s what you need to know about Yellowstone:

How did a seemingly niche western gain such a broad audience?
Streaming pulled in brand new viewers. Much like Breaking Bad before it, Yellowstone’s past season availability on Peacock attracted a much younger, more male audience (58% male / 60% <45) that’s now feeding into its new-season cable-only broadcast.

What makes Yellowstone so universally appealing?
It spans genres. It isn’t just a Western (157) with high stakes and Action (120), it also showcases the soapy family dynamics of a heightened Drama (123) and is topped with a dose of History (127).

Which early elements have helped drive the show’s explosive growth?
Its rich portrayal of the affluent Dutton family. Similar to other familial dynasty series like SuccessionDynasty, and Bloodline, the generational Tension (144) and Wealthy Lifestyles (114) arising from the Family Working Together (148) to run their core business are key drivers of longevity.

How does Yellowstone’s family patriarch differ from Succession’s?
They have opposite motivations. Kevin Costner’s Rancher John Dutton protects his family at the expense of business (driven by Idealism (160)), while Succession’s Logan Roy protects business at the expense of family (aiming for power and Social Status (159)).

How can the upcoming prequel series 1883 leverage Yellowstone’s success?
By keeping the same core ratings drivers: revenge and family. Bringing the original’s crucial sense of Family Tension (144) and the driving force of Revenge (125) into the past should help keep viewers coming back.

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Rapid Insights: Ghosts

CBS’s new supernatural sitcom is the most-watched freshman comedy of the broadcast season, with ratings actually growing week to week. Based on a BBC series, the show follows a young woman who, after a near-death experience, can suddenly see the spirits inhabiting her old country house.

Here’s what you need to know about Ghosts:

Do ghosts shift Ghosts’ audience from the typical sitcom viewer?
No. Ghosts appeals most strongly to older women (54% female / 76% 35+), the same demographic that leans into traditional multi-camera comedies like MomUnited States of Al, and The Connors.

Which characters are the most important to Ghosts’ success?
All of them. The crux of the show is its hilarious culture clash, both between humans and ghosts and between ghosts of different historical eras. The Team Dynamics (126) of opposing spirit personalities Living Together (137) with humans drive both ratings and longevity.

What emotional dynamic is really firing up the audience?
The push-pull of Love (137) and Annoyance (126). The ambivalence towards the ghostly squatters both heightens the comedy and makes for a feel-good viewing experience.

How important are the supernatural elements?
They drive social buzz. The Haunted House (120) setting has a very strong impact on word-of-mouth, but viewers mostly tune in for the show’s more relatable human aspects.

Does the quirky humor of the original series translate for Americans?
Not without some changes. The show’s IP Extension (110) is somewhat important for bingeability, but it’s the story-based group dynamics of the remake that generate the comedy and thus drive ratings and longevity in the US.

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Rapid Insights: BMF

Producer Curtis “50 Cent” Jackson’s latest Starz series has been making waves as of late, both from its success as a spiritual heir to Power and from the sudden early leak of episode 7. The show depicts the true story of two brothers who rose from poverty by creating one of America’s most influential crime families.

Here’s what you need to know about BMF:

What makes BMF’s audience unique?
It’s skewing a bit younger. Thanks to the show’s heavy focus on a teenaged Meech and Terry, BMF lands more solidly with that group (53% male, 21% <30) than similar urban dramas SnowfallPower, and The Chi.

Is its violent depiction of the 1980s a draw?
Yes. The show’s Late 80s (115) period setting is a key driver for bingeability, and its portrayal of the era’s gang warfare and Gun Violence (116) tees up a suspenseful throughline that will help carry it to Season 2.

Which drives viewership in BMF, the M(afia) or the F(amily)?
It’s the combination. The Flenory brothers’ homemade Crime Family (119) and tunnel-vision Focus on Business (114) together provide the narrative engine that will help sustain the show for the long haul.

How does the show benefit from its associations with big-name music artists?
They help boost ratings. 50 Cent’s name in the production credits and recurring appearances from the likes of Snoop Dogg and Eminem not only attract buzz, but they also legitimize BMF’s close ties to the hip hop Music Industry (123).

Is the show’s focus on its Black protagonists effective?
Absolutely. The perspectives of the Flenory brothers and their Black Mafia Family highlight extremely topical Racial Issues (126) from an African-American POV (156). These drivers are just as crucial for BMF as for other recent Black-focused series (like The Underground Railroad, Watchmen, Atlanta, and The Wonder Years).

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Rapid Insights: Succession

After a two-year hiatus, HBO’s deliciously dark snapshot of the rich and dysfunctional Roy family has just returned for Season 3. The premiere opens with rebellious son Kendall in open warfare against patriarch Logan, and audiences are eating it up.

Here’s what you need to know about Succession:

Is Succession’s audience in line with other satirical wealthy family dramas?
It skews more male. Succession’s viewership (57% male, 68% 35+) is nearly identical to Billions, but both are odd-men-out compared to other popular shows about generational dysfunction: DynastyThe Righteous Gemstones, and Empire all have greater female appeal.

Is Season 3’s social tracking in line with Season 1’s?
It’s higher. The show’s buzz has grown since its 2018 premiere, and the social discussion around S3 so far puts it on track to outpace both prior seasons.

How does Succession effectively walk the line between comedy and drama?
The Twisted Family Dynamics (Drama: 141, Comedy: 121). The show’s sibling rivalries, toxic father-child relationships, and incestuous business dealings both amp up the stakes and add a layer of pitch-black humor.

What are the risks of Logan being pushed out and losing connection to his kids?
It may dampen engagement. The kids’ push-pull interplay with the family patriarch brings up themes of Trust and Loyalty (120) and Betrayal (115), crucial in driving the show’s bingeability.

What’s Succession’s secret weapon?
The Strong Female Characters (123). It’s winner takes all at family conglomerate Waystar Royco, and the women in contention are just as power-hungry as the men. Viewers tuning in love to see them hold their own.

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Rapid Insights: Maid

Netflix’s Maid, a gut-wrenching portrait of poverty and abuse, has become an unexpected and thought-provoking hit over the last month – on track to surpass Queen’s Gambit ratings!

Here’s what you need to know about Maid:

Does Maid’s audience align with other popular dramas?
Yes, mostly so. Maid’s viewership (64% female, 62% 30+) is on par with Mare of EasttownSweetbitter, and Big Little Lies, though its themes of poverty and abuse bring in relatively more female 30+ viewers than its comps (43% vs. 39%).

How has word of mouth impacted Maid’s social tracking?
It has been hugely positive. Pre-release tracking didn’t show much in terms of online engagement. However, as word-of-mouth has spread since launch, Maid’s social tracking has progressively improved, reaching a new peak this week.

Is the mother-daughter relationship between the real-life mother and daughter actors particularly engaging?
Very much so. The Mother-Child Relationship (132) portrayed by Andie MacDowell and her daughter Margaret Qualley is essential to the story’s appeal.

Is a story of a young, destitute mother too much of a downer?
No, not at all. The themes of Motherhood (126) and Parenting Problems (124) are actually some of the top themes bringing in viewers.

Is the gritty portrayal of domestic work an asset to the series?
Certainly. Qualley’s portrayal of the personal and professional struggles of a Working Maid (143) and the fact that it’s Inspired by a True Story (114) are the main reasons why viewers find this portrait of the working poor particularly compelling.

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Rapid Insights: Squid Game

In September 2021, Netflix released Squid Game, a South Korean survival drama about cash-strapped players participating in deadly and twisted children’s games. Since then, it has grown into Netflix’s most popular series of all time.

Here’s what you need to know about Squid Game:

What makes Squid Game’s audience unique?
Unlike traditional thrillers, Squid Game’s wide appeal skews younger (60% male, 60% Viewers 30+) as compared to other suspense-driven shows like OzarkMindhunter, and The Handmaid’s Tale.

Was Squid Game highly anticipated by consumers?
No. Like the French language hit LupinSquid Game’s pre-release social tracking was nothing special. But, once it launched, it spread like wildfire globally.

What makes the violent game show so bingeable?
Because it’s a twisted spectacle in which players have to win. Winning is the only chance that these desperate and morally corrupt players (111) can fix their train wrecked lives.

What is working internationally?
Like the US, focusing on the personal backstories and family dysfunction of the players resonates in Latin America (Mexico and Brazil). But in South Korea, viewers will be talking about the secret organization in control of the game.

What can Vault tell us about what will work in future seasons?
That it is OK to raise the stakes even further. The elimination game (110) and players that are embroiled in intensely personal, family dysfunction (143) will continue to connect with audiences into future seasons.

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The Show Must Go On

While no industry has been left untouched by the coronavirus pandemic, for the entertainment industry, the fallout has been particularly tough. Income from box office revenues has hit zero for the first time in history while Netflix and YouTube are reducing streaming quality in Europe to keep the internet from collapsing under unprecedented demand. And now, many film studios are considering releasing movies through streaming services rather than waiting out the pandemic.

But it’s not just revenues that are in jeopardy. The pipeline of future entertainment is at risk as the production of film and television content grinds to a halt and entertainment researchers are struggling to uncover critical and unbiased findings. Directly engaging entertainment consumers through focus groups is incompatible with social distancing, and data from online panels is unreliable during these times of profound social disruption.

Perform Accurate Entertainment Research Without Respondents

Fortunately, there is an alternate method for generating empirical insights without collecting data from respondents. Machine learning, a type of artificial intelligence, is ideal for entertainment research, and Vault’s AI platform, which has analyzed the DNA of over 30,000 movies and TV series, is especially effective. During these difficult times it can answer such questions in an unbiased manner:

  • What are the demographics of the audience and what marketing messages will resonate with them?
  • What are the characters that will most connect to your target audience?
  • Is this movie better for streaming audiences?
  • Is a certain content optimized for premium cable, basic cable, OTT or broadcast television?
  • Which other television programs and films would this same audience be likely to watch?

Four Ways Machine Learning Can Bridge the Respondent Data Gap

1. Mitigate Respondent Biases
Contagion, Outbreak, and Pandemic are some of the most globally watched content during the pandemic, and this makes sense. Apocalyptic and global crisis content is also in hot demand. However, asking any respondent about content that focuses on any of these themes or stories in today’s climate would yield incredibly biased responses. What might be of intense interest today due to global events, will not be (we hope) in a year or two years. It could be even something that no one wants to relive. If we conducted the study today, machine learning would deliver exactly the same results as in January. In contrast, a survey study with human respondents would very likely deliver different results because human respondents are influenced by the world around them.

2. Alleviate Respondent Fatigue
Pushed to the limit, fatigued respondents give unreliable responses. Even in good times, let alone during a pandemic, respondents struggle through lengthy research sessions. As a result, respondents are often only given a snapshot of the creative content they are asked to evaluate. In studies performed by Vault AI, however, 100% of the creative content informs the analysis. This means we are able to deliver detailed and actionable insights of unparalleled quality and accuracy for content in pre-production, marketing or release.

3. Ease the Logistics of Capturing and Analyzing Data
By simulating the entire global television and film market, Vault can produce an entertainment research report covering the US and a dozen international markets in two weeks instead of two to three months. Our proprietary platform can start and complete all aspects of a study in one location while eliminating the time-consuming steps of survey programming, verifying translations, recruiting respondents, and training local researchers. This is especially valuable to researchers who cannot currently perform comprehensive global or even domestic studies that rely on respondent-level data.

4. Avoiding Story Leaks and Spoilers
Panel and sample providers are scrambling to still obtain data during this unprecedented shutdown. Online testing is at an all-time high, which means the risk of any leaks or piracy is at an all-time high. Content makers are always fearful of public leaks and spoilers that could significantly damage a billion-dollar property. Plot secrets can be potentially revealed to the public via social media or a misaddressed email by a host of survey respondents and contractors communicating across the Internet. In contrast, Vault doesn’t use third-party agencies to assist in entertainment research and all creative content is kept securely in-house and on-site–not on the cloud–using military-grade encryption and multiple firewalls.

Preparing for the Day-After

During these trying times of the coronavirus, audiences crave entertainment content more than ever before. For researchers, managing the pipeline of future entertainment is a significant challenge. Machine learning can provide many on-demand benefits for researchers when it’s important to remain at home.

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