Rapid Insights: ‘Death by Lightning’ Exposes the Real Engine of Historical Hits

Netflix recently premiered a buzzy new historical drama that has collected reams of critical acclaim and appeared on the streamer’s Top 10 list since its release. Featuring a star-studded cast, the limited series follows the 1880s election, presidency, and assassination of US President James Garfield (Michael Shannon), a pro-civil rights politician shot by a deluded admirer (Matthew Macfadyen).

Here’s what you need to know about Death by Lightning:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been streaming this rich docudrama? 
We’re seeing an audience composed mostly of men (61%) and those 30+ (80%), a viewership profile similar to many other male-heavy dramas–both fictional and non–about American history (Turn: Washington’s SpiesThe Good Lord BirdDeadwoodGaslit). In contrast, US historical series with more prominent female characters (The First LadyThe Gilded Age) tend to lean more toward women, while war epics (Band of BrothersThe PacificMasters of the Air) are even more prominently favored by men.

How important is the historical aspect of the story? 
Not as important as expected. Similar shows ripped from the annals of history tend to have key ratings drivers explicitly related to their real-world connection: Based on Historical Events (142, Band of Brothers)Based on a True Story (131The First Lady)American History (117Boardwalk Empire). Instead, Death by Lightning’s main pull is its in-world tension, from the political Power Struggles (145) as Garfield clinches the presidency, to the myriad challenges to his Leadership (127), to the Murder Violence (132)-driven Tragic Event (136) at the series’ core. Audiences are tuning in to see the swirling political and psychological drama that unfolds, and to watch both Garfield and his unhinged assassin pursue Power (136) and Social Status (136).

What type of viewing experience are audiences lining up for? 
A rough Emotional Roller Coaster (125). The show follows the ups and downs of both President Garfield as he pursues idealistic aims–civil rights, anti-corruption, education–and his soon-to-be murderer Charles J. Guiteau as he fails in his attempts to join Garfield’s inner circle. A frustrated office-seeker believing himself entitled to power, Guiteau’s mental state deteriorates as he’s denied access to the president, flashing through a host of wildly-swinging emotions: Terror (136)Contempt (136)Remorse (133)Rage (131)Loathing (127)Admiration (124), and even Optimism (124). Viewers are leaning in to witness the chaotic and ultimately combustible emotional link between the two.

Does Death by Lightning also offer international appeal? 
Absolutely, though the key drivers are a bit different. As in America, Garfield’s impending assassination (Tragic Event) is a crucial ratings propeller for global audiences, particularly pulling in the UK (133), South Korea (148), and Japan (135). However, Garfield’s Political Life–his policies, his career, and the broader trends of the era–carries notably more weight abroad than it does in the US, perhaps because viewers are more curious about a government that’s not their own. Australia (133), Brazil (121), Canada (127), New Zealand (157), and Mexico (139) are especially interested in the latter driver.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

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Rapid Insights: ‘Pluribus’ Proves Tone—Not Plot—Drives Breakthrough Genre Hits

Apple TV recently premiered a high-concept new thriller from creator Vince Gilligan that has earned a 100% Rotten Tomatoes score and has already been renewed for a season two. Rhea Seehorn stars as a cynical romance novelist who, after a worldwide event leaves all of humanity in a permanent state of bliss, remains the sole unaffected survivor still capable of negative thoughts.

Here’s what you need to know about Pluribus:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s tuning in for this twisted new thriller? 
We’re seeing an audience that leans toward men (56%) and is heavily aged 35+ (77%), placing the show squarely in the Apple TV sweet spot for the genre. The streamer boasts a number of similarly high-concept, dark-edged, sci-fi-tinged shows–including SeveranceHello Tomorrow!Dark MatterSiloInvasion, and Foundation–and these series attract a very similar viewership profile.

What is Pluribus’ biggest selling point? 
Its tone. The show’s top three viewership drivers highlight its dark, irreverent sense of Twisted Humor (135), the sharp barbs it aims at modern social trends (conformity, toxic positivity, the lure of A.I.) (Social Satire, 131), and the deep reservoir of deep Cynicism (128) embodied by its prickly protagonist Carol. This wry, subversive tone hooks viewers and drives engagement, setting up an effective contrast with the overwhelmingly upbeat goodwill emanating from the rest of Carol’s world.

Why else are viewers tuning in? 
To follow Carol’s emotional journey. As the lone unhappy, misanthropic Fish Out of Water (123) within a vast sea of positivity, she sets off on a Road Trip Adventure (124) to gauge the extent of the bliss-causing pandemic and look for ways to reverse its effects. With her emotional outbursts seemingly the last weapon against the world’s unceasingly joyful hive mind, audiences are leaning in for her deep Emotional Turmoil (121), which swings wildly between feelings like Annoyance (126)Amazement (123)Optimism (122), Contempt (122), Anger (114), and Remorse (114).

What will be important as the show goes into Season 2? 
The wider world. With Season 1 introducing a World Turned Upside Down (125) and an unchecked Outbreak (126) of collective bliss, the show leaves plenty of room for future seasons to ramp up the story engine and explore the broader implications. The central tension ahead: Is Carol resisting forced happiness or proving misery loves company? Audiences are poised to return to see how the show grapples with this and other questions

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

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Rapid Insights: ‘I Love LA’ Turns Friendship Fails into Gen Z Gold

HBO recently premiered a hilarious new zeitgeist-y comedy that puts a fresh Gen Z spin on a time-tested theme: young adults struggling to make it in the big city. Created by and starring comedian Rachel Sennott, the series follows an aspiring talent agent and her crew of misfit friends as they grapple with the snarky brutality of the Los Angeles scene.

Here’s what you need to know about I Love LA:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

What does I Love LA have in common with other shows in this genre? 
Its examination of young adulthood. Like its predecessors, I Love LA explores what it’s like to be a self assured-yet-bewildered 20-something struggling to gain purchase in a challenging city, and it focuses on similar coming-of-age storylines around Friendship Conflicts (125)Overcoming Adversity (110), and Bettering Oneself (123). Protagonist Maia and her crew are reminiscent of the lead characters in shows like InsecureThe Bold Type, Adults, and Girls–the Millennial standardbearer for this subgenre–where their Friendships (111), breakdowns (Emotions Running High, 113), and working life struggles create a series of relatable (if heightened) scenarios for viewers of all ages.

What’s making I Love LA stand out? 
Its sharp, offbeat sense of humor. Where I Love LA sets itself apart is its tone, which is much more broadly comedic than most other entrants in this subgenre. The show also dives directly into a very modern phenomenon–the world of social media influencers–as it follows Maia’s attempts to become a talent manager for a wildly impulsive childhood friend who found online success. The Awkward Misadventures (160) and Awkward & Funny Moments (140) of Maia and her friends, along with the show’s wonderful sense of Cultural Diversity (132), place it more on par with the recent Gen Z-based Adults than earlier generations’ iterations of this storyline, which often depended instead on tension, drama, and rocky relationships. The comedic elements that make the show feel so unique are also its top viewership drivers and propel all four of its key components: ratings, bingeability, longevity, and social buzz.

Could such a US-specific show find success internationally? 
Definitely. Though humor is largely cultural, the hilarious Awkward Misadventures at the center of I Love LA do carry global possibility, with the driver showing an “outstanding” level of potential in markets as varied as the UK (160), Brazil (143), and South Korea (159). Though the show is inextricably tied to Los Angeles in name and setting, viewers everywhere can still identify with its universal themes of coming-of-age goofiness and social media-based madness.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: ‘Boots’ Blends Brotherhood, Identity, and Boot Camp into a Bold New Teen Genre

Netflix recently released a compelling and nuanced teen dramedy about military boot camp that has received tons of critical and social buzz and is on an extended streak in the streamer’s Top 10 list. Loosely based on the memoir of a real-life ex-Marine, the series follows a gay bullied teen who impulsively enlists in the US Marine Corps to follow his best friend, even though the laws of the time barred gay men from serving.

Here’s what you need to know about Boots:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been adding this new dramedy to their queue? 
We’re seeing an audience that is gender balanced (52% men), and is mostly aged 35+ (74%). This profile is more male and older than other teen coming-of-age stories that wrestle with identity and transformation (e.g., Love VictorSex Education, AtypicalHeartstopper13 Reasons WhyIt’s a Sin, Euphoria), which tend to skew much more toward women (59-77%) and often to those under 35.

Why have so many viewers been tuning in? 
For the best friend bond at its center. Boots focuses on sensitive teen Cameron (Fish Out of Water, 138) and his military-minded best friend Ray, who jointly decide to enlist in the Marines after high school graduation. Shipped off to the grueling world of boot camp, the pair join the newest batch of motley recruits and quickly learn that it’s sink or swim among the uber-disciplined world of basic training and its physical and mental gauntlets. Using humor to survive the harshness (Buddy Comedy, 145), the pair overcome challenges both to their friendship and their senses of self as their seemingly brutal experiences mold them into the men they will ultimately become (Coming of Age, 160). Audiences are watching for the show’s thoughtful, nuanced portrayal of Male Friendship (130) and how it morphs as boys grow up.

What’s making this series so bingeworthy? 
Cameron’s unique POV. Cameron is gay, and Boots takes place three years before the military’s “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” policy, when being outed within your unit meant immediate discharge and abject disgrace. Though he knew the risks, he still enlisted hoping the Marines would offer a new direction for his life, but as he survives each new day of boot camp, he realizes just how hard it is to conceal such an essential piece of his identity from the men that surround him every second of every day. Cameron’s role as an LGBTQIA+ Protagonist (142) deepens and enriches his story and makes audiences lean forward to see how things will ultimately turn out for this conflicted young man.

What will help push Boots to a second season? 
The setting. The show’s 1990s (128) time period and military milieu–both on and off the battlefield (Military Operation,122)–offer a rich vein to be mined for future seasons’ storytelling and could easily incorporate new storylines for Cameron, Ray, and the rest of their unit. Additionally, unlike with Boots, military-related themes tend to be paired with action-forward drivers like Battle ActionCriminal Investigation, and Espionage; the fact that Boots’ Marine component is instead paired with a touching coming-of-age story will continue to make this show stand out as unique.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

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