Rapid Insights: Lady in the Lake Doubles the Impact with Dual Protagonists

Last week, Apple TV+ released a buzzy new period crime drama that’s based on a popular, critically acclaimed novel of the same name. The limited series stars Moses Ingram as a Black woman bartender in 1960s Baltimore, whose murder becomes the obsession of Natalie Portman’s character, an investigative journalist.

Here’s what you need to know about Lady in the Lake:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s tuning in for this thrilling new miniseries? 
Women 30+. We’re seeing an audience that’s mostly women (63%) and notably 30+ (79% aged 30+)–the very same fanship that watches other women-led Mystery (130)Crime (124) Dramas (118) like Love & Death, Candy, A Friend of the FamilyThe Staircase, and The Thing About Pam.

What’s pulling in these women 30+ viewers? 
The dual Women Protagonists (145)Lady in the Lake follows aspiring journalist Maddie Schwartz (Female Professional, 113), a Jewish housewife who leaves her overbearing husband to pursue what quickly becomes an obsession: solving the murder of Black woman bartender Cleo Johnson. The episodes follow both Maddie and the deceased Cleo, tracking their Inner Conflicts (121) and drawing parallels between their struggles for Independence (120) and Social Status (120) at a time when both Jewish and Black women often found themselves powerless and voiceless. All are key ratings draws.

What type of viewing experience are audiences expecting? 
An unsettling one. The emotions with the most ratings traction are those that play into the show’s darker, more conflicted elements. Viewers are looking to experience the same unsettling feelings and Emotional Turmoil (117) that follow both Maddie and Cleo throughout the story: Disapproval (120)Anger (115)Aggressiveness (115)Loathing (111), and Terror (110).

What will keep viewers watching? 
The suspense. As Maddie digs deeper and deeper for the truth and refuses to back off (Ambition & Drive, 115), she comes under threat from dangerous criminal elements (Life in Danger, 130) who have a vested interest in Cleo’s murder remaining unsolved. In addition, the fact that the show is based on a popular novel (Based on a Book, 123) makes fans want to compare this filmed version with the one they’ve read.

How’s the show’s social buzz?
Promising. Though its June trailer drop netted only a modest bump (to 113), the show saw a marked increase in online chatter (peaking at an outstanding 134) starting July 11 thanks to a notable ramp-up in publicity. Then, the July 19 release of the first two episodes pushed it over the top, maxing out our social buzz meter (at 160). Viewers are posting and tweeting about Maddie and her journey as well as the all-too-relevant Racial Issues (111) of 1960s Baltimore.

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

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Rapid Insights: Those About to Die Thrills with To-the-Death Gladiatorial Battles

This coming Thursday, Peacock will be premiering a much-anticipated new epic drama inspired by the same 1958 book that gave rise to the Oscar-winning film Gladiator. Directed by Roland Emmerich and starring Anthony Hopkins, the new series explores the violent, corrupt world of bloody, do-or-die gladiatorial competition in Ancient Rome.

Here’s what you need to know about Those About to Die:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who will be tuning in for this historical epic? 
Men. Thanks largely to its focus on brutal arena battles, we anticipate an audience that’s mostly male (65%) and mostly aged 30+ (65%). This profile is similar to other action-heavy series like Citadel, The Continental, Vikings, and DMZ, as well as fellow sword-and-sandals dramas Rome and Spartacus.

Why will viewers be adding Those About to Die to their queue? 
For the Roman Battle Action (148). The biggest ratings draw for this saga is the bloodthirsty Action & Violence (127) taking place in the unique environs of Ancient Rome (Distinctly Realized World, 129), which features ultra-high-stakes gladiator combat where only the winners survive (Life in Danger, 125). In leaning on brutal spectacle to pull in viewers, the series joins similar epics boasting original, fully-fleshed-out worlds like House of the DragonWheel of Time, and The Legend of Vox Machina.

What type of viewing experience will audiences be looking for? 
An emotional roller coaster. Amidst its ferocious battles, the series promises a suspenseful mix of ups and downs that will in turn exhilarate and distress, with viewers carried along by the shifting inner turmoil of the gladiators as they cycle through emotions: from Surprise (116) to Vigilance (118)Awe (118) to Terror (116)Optimism (118) to Anger (113) and Aggressiveness (113).

What will keep audiences hooked? 
The political intrigue. In addition to the Circus Maximus, the show spotlights a vicious competition for power and influence (Power Struggle, 113) among players from all levels of Roman society, with enough Ambition & Drive (111) to make them dangerous. With contenders as varied as Emperor Vespasian and his sons, a savage boss of the criminal underworld, a patrician couple adept at pulling secret strings, skillful gladiator mercenaries, and a Strong Mother (113) desperate for Vengeance (120) after her son is forced into slavery, viewers will be kept on the edge of their seats wondering who will prevail. The fact that the series is Based on Historical Events (112) makes it that much more compelling.

What will help push Those About to Die to a second season? 
The gladiatorial Competition (135). Thanks to its to-the-death style of fighting, the show effectively features an Elimination Game (119) where any combatant in the ring (or, more broadly, any character fighting for power) could conceivably be killed off at any point. This ever-present sense of stakes helps create a robust story engine with the potential to drastically change the set-up for future seasons. Interestingly, Those About to Die depends on the same elements for its longevity as a number of reality game shows, including The TraitorsThe Weakest Link, Ink Master, RuPaul’s Drag Race, and The Voice (as well as fellow drama Squid Game).

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: My Lady Jane Delivers a Spirited Blend of Comedy, Romance, and Historical Fantasy

Recently, Amazon Prime Video released a spirited new dramedy that takes a page straight out of the English history books–and then shreds it. Based on a popular novel, the show imagines an alternate ‘what if’ life story for Lady Jane Grey, the real-life “Nine Days’ Queen” who was beheaded in 1554 at age 17. Instead, the show offers her a reprieve, following her fiery exploits as she marries the delectable Lord Guildford and forges her own path in a repressive Tudor society.

Here’s what you need to know about My Lady Jane:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been watching this fun new series? 
Older women. We’re seeing a viewership that’s mostly female (66%) and mostly aged 30+ (61%), a profile extremely similar to the streaming audiences for other historical dramas with strong leading ladies, such as Bridgerton, OutlanderDickensonReign, and The White Queen.

What’s the most important genre in its mix? 
Romance. My Lady Jane is a freewheeling blend of various eclectic elements, from History (131) to Fantasy (123) to Adventure (120), but it’s the sparkling Romantic Tension (147) between core couple Lady Jane and Lord Guildford that’s driving ratings. At the same time, a healthy dose of suspenseful action and narrow escapes (Life in Danger, 116), combined with dark, raunchy comedy (Adult Humor, 116) and a dryly witty Voice-Over Narration (126), offers strong support and maintains the show’s bingeability.

How important is Jane herself? 
Very. Gutsy and complex, Jane is a Strong Female Protagonist (134) that makes waves and draws viewers. In an era when women’s only option is marriage, she’s determined to maintain her independence, her power–and her head, in a clever twist on the tragic real-life history (Based on Historical Events, 112). Her Bravery (123) in fighting back against her prescribed place in society–especially with her family in dire financial straits (Overcoming Adversity, 132)–and her Life-Changing Decision (114) to go her own way even after she’s forced to wed not only gooses ratings for the series but will also boost its chances of reaching a second season.

What else is drawing viewers to My Lady Jane? 
Palace intrigue. With a focus on British Culture (114) that’s especially appealing in America, many of the characters surrounding Jane are also pulled straight from the annals of English Tudor Royalty (128): Edward VI, Mary I, Elizabeth I. As the story opens, Edward is on the throne and Mary and her lover are scheming to take over, engaging in all sorts of Political Manipulation (118)–including some carefully-placed poisons–to sate their nefarious Ambition & Drive (125). Their twisted machinations create a secondary pull for both ratings and bingeability as audiences stay tuned to see what happens.

How’s the show’s social buzz? 
At the top of the charts. The online chatter surrounding My Lady Jane immediately maxed out our social buzz meter (at 160) with the same-day release of its entire first season, and it has remained there ever since.

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Presumed Innocent, an Intricate Courtroom Drama Teeming with Emotion

Apple TV+ recently premiered a thrilling new legal drama from producers David E. Kelly and J. J. Abrams that’s been earning sizable buzz and mounting critical praise. The second adaptation of a popular novel (after the 1990 film), the limited series stars Jake Gyllenhaal as a prosecuting attorney accused of gruesomely murdering his colleague and affair partner.

Here’s what you need to know about Presumed Innocent:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

How does this audience compare to Apple TV+’s sweet spot? 
It’s older. For Presumed Innocent, we’re seeing a viewership that’s mostly female (64%) and heavily aged 30+ (83%). While Apple TV+’s other twisted mystery-thrillers like Defending JacobShining Girls, Surface, and Suspicion also skew similarly toward women, they tend to run a bit younger (69-76% aged 30+).

Why have audiences been tuning in? 
To see if he did it. The show’s trailer heavily teases the Mystery (128) of attorney Rusty Sabich’s guilt or innocence, and this irresistible hook is exactly what’s capturing viewers’ attention; audiences are dying to know what Secrets & Lies (141) the seemingly shady lawyer may be hiding. In addition, his shame and remorse over his uncovered affair (Feeling Guilty, 115) and the resulting Family Tension (112) that sets him at odds against his wife and kids create a rich emotional backdrop for the central murder case.

What’s making the show so bingeworthy? 
The entire legal circus. Beyond core Murder Suspect (119) Rusty, Presumed Innocent zooms out to follow a number of key players involved in the investigation and trial (Multiple Storylines, 131), including Rusty’s wife, the murder victim, the police, and the prosecuting attorneys (and Rusty’s former co-workers). Audiences won’t be able to look away from the climactic courtroom scenes that bring all of these players together (Courtroom Drama, 132). The fact that this series spools out the clever twists of the source novel (Based on a Book, 130) is also an important driver of bingeability.

What kind of viewing experience are audiences leaning into? 
An intense one. The show places its Crime (128) Thriller (116) elements front-and-center and leans into a host of tense, negative emotions like Fear (131)Surprise (131)Terror (131), and Vigilance (131) as the high-stakes trial plays out. Viewers are kept on the edge of their seats waiting to find out the ultimate truth.

Is the show being talked about online? 
Definitely. Presumed Innocent rocketed to the top of our social buzz meter (at 160) with its first episode drop and has maintained that level of chatter pretty consistently ever since. Viewers are typing and tweeting about the central murder mystery and speculating about Rusty’s guilt.

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights-Genre DNA Analysis: Power Struggles and Why We Love to Hate

This week, in honor of Vault’s newly-rolled-out Genre DNA™ reporting capabilities, we’re taking another deep dive into an eclectic scripted subgenre that crosses both comedies and dramas: business Power Struggles. Shows within this category feature a variety of modern-set workplaces where employees, co-workers, and big-headed bosses clash and compete for the spoils of professional success. For our analysis, we took a closer look at the data to see what separates the truly stand-out successes–those that hit the zeitgeist, achieve popular acclaim, and, ideally, run for many seasons–from the rest of the pack.

Here’s what you need to know about this Power Struggles subgenre:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s typically watching these types of shows? 
Viewers 30+. However, while nearly all examples of this subgenre skew older, the most successful entries appeal fairly broadly across both men and women. Rather than fitting squarely within one quadrant, as many of the one-and-done series do, shows like Succession (50% male / 50% female), House of Cards (48% male / 52% female), Veep (54% male / 46% female), Industry (55% male / 45% female), The Bear (45% male / 55% female), and Billions (55% male / 45% female) land best with a relatively gender-balanced audience.

What type of viewing experience sets the most popular shows apart? 
An intense one. While this subgenre encompasses a variety of storytelling styles, from upbeat comedy to layered drama to twisted satire, the shows that stand out the most tend to offer a harsher, more unflinching look at the raw power dynamics of their respective workplaces. Nearly across the board, the overachievers draw viewers with unpleasant, blood-boiling emotions like Anger (118House of Cards)Loathing (117The Morning Show)Contempt (116Empire)Aggressiveness (116The Newsroom)Disgust (127Silicon Valley), and Terror (137Industry)–even the shows styled as comedies (e.g. VeepSilicon ValleyMythic Quest). In contrast, less successful series are more likely to lead with positive feelings such as AweLoveEcstasy, and Trust.

Which common story element is most appealing? 
The cutthroat competition. In keeping with their negative emotional approach, successful power-based series tend to focus hard on the ugly, dark side of their central premise. Viewers tune in largely to see morally compromised protagonists relish in their own unique style of deception and backstabbing: the Corruption (128) of a televangelist family (The Righteous Gemstones); the Scheming (123) of an aggressive hedge fund manager (Billions); the twisted Ambition & Drive (119) of an amoral politician (House of Cards); the demented Rivalry (114) between two tech companies (Silicon Valley); the absurd Ruthlessness (121) of a presidential hopeful (Veep); the unhealthy Competitiveness (124) of a rebellious chef (The Bear). These displays of naked ambition and workplace dysfunction (Difficult Workplace, 124Industry) largely drive ratings for the most successful entrants in this subgenre.

What are the characters typically fighting to win? 
The trappings of success. While these shows’ ambitious protagonists do compete for the intoxication of raw, naked Power (141) (Billions), many fight just as hard for adjacent desires like Money (131) (Succession), Vengeance (134) (Empire), and Social Status (143) (House of Cards). And the fact that these battles take place within a wide variety of fascinating settings–the Culinary World (120) of The Bear, the drug-based Crime Family (117) underworld of Power, the Music Industry (128) of Empire, the early morning Show Business (125) world of The Morning Show–is what makes these series so eminently bingeable.

What keeps the most successful shows running long-term?
The character relationships. Though the epic power struggles are what lure in viewers, it’s the series’ more relatable interpersonal dynamics that keep them watching season after season. For most of these standout shows, longevity is driven by compelling central relationships in which audiences want to invest–even though the characters themselves are often terrible human beings: Father-Child Relationships (111) (Succession), Mentorships (118) (The Good Fight), Parenting Problems (120) (Veep), Sibling Rivalry (134) (The Righteous Gemstones), Family Relationships (124) (Power), a Marriage of Convenience (113) (House of Cards).

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Clipped’s Real-Life Story of NBA Scandal Is a Slam Dunk

Hot on the heels of HBO’s Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty comes a buzzy new show focused on the other Los Angeles-based NBA basketball team. FX on Hulu’s newly-premiered limited series tells the true behind-the-scenes story of the LA Clippers, famed coach Doc Rivers (Laurence Fishburne), notoriously racist owner Donald Sterling (Ed O’Neill), and the shocking leaked tape scandal that rocked the entire league.

Here’s what you need to know about Clipped:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been tuning in for this ripped-from-the-headlines drama? 
Older men. We’re seeing a viewership that’s mostly male (63%) and mostly older (63% aged 30+), an unsurprising skew given its NBA focus. This profile is similar to the SVOD audience for Winning Time as well as other sports-based scripted shows like Mike, Heels, and Ballers.

How important is the ‘sports’ of it all?
Absolutely crucial. For Clipped–as with Lakers drama Winning Time–the core sports genre is what’s pulling in audiences; for both series, their Sports Focus (160) is their #1 overall viewership driver. Fans want a courtside seat to the real-life goings-on of the NBA, particularly the Coach-Athlete Relationships (140) and Mentorships (141) found within each professional team.

How is Clipped different from Winning Time
It’s darker. Winning Time chronicles the cheer-worthy rise of a storied basketball dynasty, charting the Lakers’ ascent toward Winning (118) and Stardom (120) and, thanks to the players’ enduring renown, takes on a Celebrity Focus (125); viewers jumped on board to experience positive emotions like Admiration (124) and Awe (124)Clipped, on the other hand, in a sense tells the opposite story: a struggling team of Underdogs (148) brought even lower by a racist Scandal (124) filled with heated Confrontations (119) and Emotions Running High (118). Accordingly, audiences are tuning in expecting a much more negative viewing experience, with feelings like Fear (119)Aggressiveness (117), and Anger (117).

What happened with the leaked tape? 
It led to an important moment in sports history. The publicized recording of team owner Sterling’s racist rants in 2014 resulted in a media frenzy that brought to light a host of Racial Issues (133), not only within the Clippers organization but also the wider NBA. Clipped showcases the increasingly tense Interracial Relationships (128) between Sterling and the team’s Black players and staff, including Coach Rivers, as it explores whether Sterling’s ultimate downfall created real, lasting change. This grappling with questions around racism and racial reckoning is a core ratings driver for the show.

How is Clipped’s online chatter?  
Promising. The show maxed out our social buzz meter (at 160) with its two-episode June 4 premiere and spiked again with last week’s release of episode 3; it’s poised to follow in the footsteps of Winning Time, which saw similar renewed chatter for each weekly episode drop. For Clipped, viewers are largely talking about Donald Sterling’s repulsive Abuses of Power (133) during his reign as team owner as well as the broader racial issues his leaked tape brought to light.

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of scripted TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – 26 scripted TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen scripted TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Eric’s Father-Son Drama and 1980s Setting Hook Viewers

Netflix recently released a buzzy new limited series that has been receiving widespread critical and popular acclaim. Set in 1980s New York, the dark mystery-thriller stars Benedict Cumberbatch as an abusive but distraught father desperate to find his missing nine-year-old son Edgar who disappeared on his way to school.

Here’s what you need to know about Eric:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been tuning in for this limited series drama? 
We’re seeing a viewership that leans female (55%) and is heavily older (77% aged 30+). This profile is somewhat more gender-balanced than the typical mystery-crime-thriller audience; while nearly all entrants in this genre do skew 30+, streaming viewers for shows like Three Pines, Shining GirlsThe KillingMare of Easttown, Big SkyTruth Be Told, and The Undoing tend to skew much more female (61-68%).

Why have viewers been checking it out? 
To find out what happened to Edgar. Eric’s top ratings drivers revolve around the search for the missing boy; audiences want to follow along as his parents–and the police–embark On a Mission (136) to uncover the truth (Searching for the Truth, 143) of their son’s fate. These Mystery (133) aspects parallel similar series whose key draws also depend on unraveling knotty, season-long crimes, such as Mare of Easttown (Murder Mystery, 114)Three Pines (Murder Mystery, 141)The Killing (Hidden Truth, 132), and Shining Girls (Searching for the Truth, 117).

What keeps audiences watching? 
The father’s struggle. Though pulled in by the mystery, viewers become hooked on the story of an increasingly distraught puppeteer who, spiraling on substance abuse and desperation, becomes convinced that a seven-foot-tall monster puppet named Eric will help him reunite with his son. The father’s increasingly volatile behavior (Struggling, 120), which pushes away his family (Husband-Wife Relationship, 137) and friends, as well as the 1980s NYC Setting (120) in which the story unfolds, are important drivers of the show’s bingeability.

What type of viewing experience does Eric offer? 
An Emotional Roller Coaster (136). The show shifts back and forth between the Trauma & Tragedy (129) of the present and much happier flashbacks of the family’s recent past. It is these lighter moments–along with flashes of hope during the search–that audiences find most appealing from the get-go; more positive emotions like Joy (130)Optimism (130)Awe (127), and Amazement (127) are stronger ratings draws. At the same time, the darker, more thrilling side of the story–as well as the father’s descent into near-madness–is what’s keeping audiences hooked; negative feelings like Vigilance (115)Anger (115), and Aggressiveness (114) most impact bingeability.

How has the show been faring in social buzz? 
Great. Though its trailer drop made some waves, its May 30 episode release caused a huge spike in online chatter: Eric premiered at #3 on Netflix’s top 10 shows list and has maxed out our social buzz meter (at 160) for the past two weeks. Viewers are talking about the central Family Tragedy (135) of A Missing Loved One (119) as the desperate parents search for their son.

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of scripted TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – 26 scripted TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen scripted TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Family Narratives and Other Key Drivers Behind Successful Historical Sagas

This week, we wanted to celebrate the introduction of Vault’s new Genre DNA™capabilities by diving into the landscape of a popular scripted subgenre that encompasses a wide variety of series: Historical Sagas. We took a closer look at the data to see what separates the truly stand-out successes–those that hit the zeitgeist, achieve popular acclaim, and, ideally, run for many seasons–from the rest of the pack.

Here’s what you need to know about the Historical Saga subgenre:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s the core audience for a successful historical saga? 
Older viewers. While a standout period drama can effectively appeal to either gender–and there are numerous examples in both camps, from the male-skewing Shōgun (62%), Peaky Blinders (65%) and Deadwood (60%) to the female-heavy Bridgerton (83%), The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (68%), and The Crown (72%)–the core demo they all have in common is a viewership that’s primarily aged 30+ (63-96%). The most popular shows seem comfortable leaning heavily into this built-in older audience, whereas less successful entrants in the subgenre, in contrast, tend to aim just a little bit younger.

What’s one of the key draws of the subgenre? 
A subculture deep-dive. The most compelling historical sagas on TV share a common thread: they all excel at bringing a specific time period to life, creating vivid, fully-realized worlds that viewers can’t resist exploring. Outlander, for example, time-travels between different periods in English and Scottish history (British Culture, 121); Peaky Blinders showcases a seedy Criminal Organization (129) in 1919; Downton Abbey looks at the upstairs-downstairs divide of English High Society (160)The Crown at modern English Royalty (160)Vikings at early Norse explorers (A Subculture Up Close, 119)Mad Men at 1960s Madison Avenue (A Subculture Up Close, 123), and 1923 at early twentieth-century American History (139). For these and other hit series, viewers tune in–and keep watching–to spend time in a rich, compelling, fully-fleshed out world that they haven’t seen before, and this aspect is an important driver across all four of our key categories (ratings, bingeability, social buzz, and longevity).

What’s the main storytelling approach among the most popular shows?
A focus on family. Across the most popular historical sagas on television, one storytelling approach consistently emerges as a key to success: anchoring the narrative in the dynamics of family relationships. From a family-run crime gang (Peaky Blinders, Family Relationships, 137) to a pair of married Russian spies (The Americans, Working with Family, 159), a tight-knit Scottish clan (Outlander, Extended Family, 126) to royalty confronting succession (The Crown, Family Legacy, 152), and a chaotic New York Jewish household (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, Family Disagreements, 160) to a kinship of Viking raiders (VikingsFamily Relationships, 160), the best series lean on the universality of family to keep their otherwise alien stories feeling grounded and relatable. In contrast, less successful historical sagas are more likely to feature other types of relationships (co-workers, teams, friends, wider communities) that, from the audience’s perspective, may not provide as rich a milieu to explore the norms of different eras.

Is there one specific tone that determines success? 
Not at all. The top period dramas depend on a wide range of emotional experiences to pull in viewers. Some tend toward the upbeat and positive, calling up emotions like AmazementJoyOptimismLove, and Awe (e.g., BridgertonCall the Midwife, The Chosen); others swing negative, drawing on darker feelings like AngerSadnessContemptLoathing, and Fear (e.g., 1923Deadwood, Peaky Blinders, Boardwalk Empire); and still others revel in covering both the highs and lows of the human experience in equal measure (e.g., Shōgun, The Crown, Downton AbbeyHell on WheelsReign).

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of scripted TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – 26 scripted TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen scripted TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

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Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Baby Reindeer is a Surprise Netflix Smash

Last month, Netflix premiered an under-the-radar new limited series that has turned into an unexpected smash hit, ultimately landing among the service’s most-watched programs in 90 countries and finishing up its sixth week (and counting) on the Top 10 list in the US. Based on the real-life experiences of writer/star Richard Gadd, the show traces a woman’s obsessive stalking of an aspiring comedian.

Here’s what you need to know about Baby Reindeer:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been tuning in for this blockbuster miniseries? 
We’re seeing a viewership that’s mostly female (60%) and mostly older (64% aged 30+)–the same ‘sweet spot’ audience for other dramatized limited series based on true crimes such as The WatcherCandy, A Friend of the Family, Under the Banner of HeavenThe Staircase, Inventing Anna, and The Girl from Plainville. That said, Baby Reindeer does lean a bit younger than these other shows, which range from 69-80% aged 30+.

What caused viewers to check out the show in the first place?
Its dark subject matter. The series chronicles the unnerving Stalking (160) and horrendous Sexual Abuse (152) experienced by aspiring comedian Donny Dunn: the former by a troubled woman with mental illness, the latter by a sadistic mentor-turned-predator within the comedy world. With Donny’s sense of self and well-being Under Threat (124), the stalker’s tactics escalating, and the pressure around him mounting, audiences have been eager to see how the story will unfold.

What has kept audiences watching through the finale? 
The Emotional Roller Coaster (113). Donny’s story injects a wide range of feelings and sensations into the viewing experience, from the Anger (129) and Terror (129) of being stalked to the Grief (123) and Fear (129) of becoming an unwitting victim of abuse, the Ecstasy (129) and Joy (129) of falling in love, to the Apprehension (129) and Vigilance (129) of trying to keep that loved one safe. Throughout the show, viewers crave this experience of being put through the emotional wringer. At the same time, the fact that the show is Based on a True Story (119)–creator Gadd really was stalked by a similar woman and abused by a similar mentor–has inspired many to become amateur online detectives, leveraging the ‘evidence’ doled out in the show to try and identify these characters’ real-world counterparts.

What has caused the show’s popularity to skyrocket? 
Word of mouth. Its social tracking suggests a smash hit that truly came out of nowhere; the late-March trailer premiere made barely a ripple (hovering at an average-level (95) on our social buzz meter), and the actual episode drop on April 11 flew similarly under the radar (edging up to a still-average (99)). However, as more and more viewers found the show, its buzz started to spike, finally maxing out our meter (at an ‘outstanding’ (160)) ten days after its release; the show has seen the same level of heavy, sustained chatter ever since.

Why did viewers want to spread the word about this series? 
To share Donny’s poignant Journey of Self Discovery (112). What makes Baby Reindeer so different from other true crime-type shows is its nuanced, human take on both victim and perpetrator, largely thanks to creator Gadd’s movingly honest self-reflection. Through Donny, Gadd is able to look back on the uneasy emotional and psychological odyssey of his past, which encompassed the lowest of lows (drugs, abuse), some moments of respite (Falling in Love, 118), and finally a sense of freedom in Coming Out (111) and finding Self Acceptance (118). All the while, the dry Voice-Over Narration (129) makes audiences privy to Donny’s innermost thoughts and feelings. All are key drivers for social buzz as well as bingeability.

Missed one of our recent rapid insights? Catch up on popular titles below:
A Very Royal Scandal Sets the Standard for Prestige Drama and Real-Life Scandal
English Teacher Rewrites the Rules of School-Based Comedies
Bad Monkey Injects Dark Comedy and Danger into Crime Drama
Time Bandits Balances a Cinematic World with TV Character Depth

 

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: The Veil Engages with High Stakes and Global Thrills

Today, FX on Hulu is releasing the first two episodes of its compelling new spy thriller miniseries from the creator of Peaky Blinders. The show stars Elisabeth Moss as a slippery MI6 agent tasked with pursuing a suspected female terrorist and uncovering her secrets before it’s too late.

Here’s what you need to know about The Veil:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who will be tuning in for this suspenseful drama? 
We’re predicting a viewership that leans toward men (53%) and skews heavily older (74% aged 30+). This tilt towards men–potentially because of the more intense violence–makes the show somewhat unusual among the list of thrillers that heavily feature female spies: the streaming audiences for Killing EveThe Americans, Hanna, NikitaCovert Affairs, and Alias all slanted toward women.

Why will viewers want to watch?
For the suspense. In the series, Moss’s Agent Imogen Salter–an erratic yet gifted chameleon who excels at undercover work–confidently puts her own Life in Danger (154) as she accepts a Dangerous Mission (125) to befriend a potential foreign terrorist and uncover essential secret information. Her relationship with the foreigner becomes increasingly fraught and loyalties become fluid (Betrayal, 132) as the situation–and the truth–become ever more complicated and lethal (Action & Violence, 139). All are top ratings drivers.

What type of viewing experience will audiences be looking for?
An intense one. The key emotional drivers for The Veil play up its suspense and tension and match the ethos of its challenging, complicated heroine. Viewers will be craving the sense of Fear (150)Anger (150)Aggressiveness (150), and Vigilance (146) brought on by its deadly central game of truth and lies, tempered by feelings of Awe (146) and Amazement (146) at Imogen’s expert abilities as an undercover spy.

What will keep audiences glued to their screens?
The tense Geopolitics (132). Behind Imogen’s covert mission is a knotty tangle of intergovernmental friction and one-upmanship among three countries’ central Espionage (133) agencies. Ruthless personalities within the CIA, the UK’s MI6, and France’s DGSE struggle for power and control while they pretend to cooperate in the face of an impending terrorist threat (Terrorism, 122), and it’s this government-based game of thrones that will keep viewers hooked. Looking back through StoryGuide, the idea of Geopolitics is a fairly rare viewership driver, even among other spy thrillers; The Veil joins only The Regime, Echo 3, The Undeclared WarVigil, Fauda, and Locked Up Abroad in the level of audience importance placed on the theme.

What’s the show’s biggest draw internationally?
Its global spy elements. The Veil offers up a strong international perspective, winding its story between the likes of Istanbul, London, and Paris, and it’s this global approach to espionage that will get non-US territories the most excited. This top driver shows the most promise in New Zealand (123)South Korea (120)Japan (112), and the UK (111), though France (107) seems a bit cooler toward the theme in spite of its own spy agency’s inclusion.

 

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*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside ratings performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

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