Rapid Insights: Clipped’s Real-Life Story of NBA Scandal Is a Slam Dunk

Hot on the heels of HBO’s Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty comes a buzzy new show focused on the other Los Angeles-based NBA basketball team. FX on Hulu’s newly-premiered limited series tells the true behind-the-scenes story of the LA Clippers, famed coach Doc Rivers (Laurence Fishburne), notoriously racist owner Donald Sterling (Ed O’Neill), and the shocking leaked tape scandal that rocked the entire league.

Here’s what you need to know about Clipped:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been tuning in for this ripped-from-the-headlines drama? 
Older men. We’re seeing a viewership that’s mostly male (63%) and mostly older (63% aged 30+), an unsurprising skew given its NBA focus. This profile is similar to the SVOD audience for Winning Time as well as other sports-based scripted shows like Mike, Heels, and Ballers.

How important is the ‘sports’ of it all?
Absolutely crucial. For Clipped–as with Lakers drama Winning Time–the core sports genre is what’s pulling in audiences; for both series, their Sports Focus (160) is their #1 overall viewership driver. Fans want a courtside seat to the real-life goings-on of the NBA, particularly the Coach-Athlete Relationships (140) and Mentorships (141) found within each professional team.

How is Clipped different from Winning Time
It’s darker. Winning Time chronicles the cheer-worthy rise of a storied basketball dynasty, charting the Lakers’ ascent toward Winning (118) and Stardom (120) and, thanks to the players’ enduring renown, takes on a Celebrity Focus (125); viewers jumped on board to experience positive emotions like Admiration (124) and Awe (124)Clipped, on the other hand, in a sense tells the opposite story: a struggling team of Underdogs (148) brought even lower by a racist Scandal (124) filled with heated Confrontations (119) and Emotions Running High (118). Accordingly, audiences are tuning in expecting a much more negative viewing experience, with feelings like Fear (119)Aggressiveness (117), and Anger (117).

What happened with the leaked tape? 
It led to an important moment in sports history. The publicized recording of team owner Sterling’s racist rants in 2014 resulted in a media frenzy that brought to light a host of Racial Issues (133), not only within the Clippers organization but also the wider NBA. Clipped showcases the increasingly tense Interracial Relationships (128) between Sterling and the team’s Black players and staff, including Coach Rivers, as it explores whether Sterling’s ultimate downfall created real, lasting change. This grappling with questions around racism and racial reckoning is a core ratings driver for the show.

How is Clipped’s online chatter?  
Promising. The show maxed out our social buzz meter (at 160) with its two-episode June 4 premiere and spiked again with last week’s release of episode 3; it’s poised to follow in the footsteps of Winning Time, which saw similar renewed chatter for each weekly episode drop. For Clipped, viewers are largely talking about Donald Sterling’s repulsive Abuses of Power (133) during his reign as team owner as well as the broader racial issues his leaked tape brought to light.

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of scripted TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – 26 scripted TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen scripted TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Eric’s Father-Son Drama and 1980s Setting Hook Viewers

Netflix recently released a buzzy new limited series that has been receiving widespread critical and popular acclaim. Set in 1980s New York, the dark mystery-thriller stars Benedict Cumberbatch as an abusive but distraught father desperate to find his missing nine-year-old son Edgar who disappeared on his way to school.

Here’s what you need to know about Eric:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been tuning in for this limited series drama? 
We’re seeing a viewership that leans female (55%) and is heavily older (77% aged 30+). This profile is somewhat more gender-balanced than the typical mystery-crime-thriller audience; while nearly all entrants in this genre do skew 30+, streaming viewers for shows like Three Pines, Shining GirlsThe KillingMare of Easttown, Big SkyTruth Be Told, and The Undoing tend to skew much more female (61-68%).

Why have viewers been checking it out? 
To find out what happened to Edgar. Eric’s top ratings drivers revolve around the search for the missing boy; audiences want to follow along as his parents–and the police–embark On a Mission (136) to uncover the truth (Searching for the Truth, 143) of their son’s fate. These Mystery (133) aspects parallel similar series whose key draws also depend on unraveling knotty, season-long crimes, such as Mare of Easttown (Murder Mystery, 114)Three Pines (Murder Mystery, 141)The Killing (Hidden Truth, 132), and Shining Girls (Searching for the Truth, 117).

What keeps audiences watching? 
The father’s struggle. Though pulled in by the mystery, viewers become hooked on the story of an increasingly distraught puppeteer who, spiraling on substance abuse and desperation, becomes convinced that a seven-foot-tall monster puppet named Eric will help him reunite with his son. The father’s increasingly volatile behavior (Struggling, 120), which pushes away his family (Husband-Wife Relationship, 137) and friends, as well as the 1980s NYC Setting (120) in which the story unfolds, are important drivers of the show’s bingeability.

What type of viewing experience does Eric offer? 
An Emotional Roller Coaster (136). The show shifts back and forth between the Trauma & Tragedy (129) of the present and much happier flashbacks of the family’s recent past. It is these lighter moments–along with flashes of hope during the search–that audiences find most appealing from the get-go; more positive emotions like Joy (130)Optimism (130)Awe (127), and Amazement (127) are stronger ratings draws. At the same time, the darker, more thrilling side of the story–as well as the father’s descent into near-madness–is what’s keeping audiences hooked; negative feelings like Vigilance (115)Anger (115), and Aggressiveness (114) most impact bingeability.

How has the show been faring in social buzz? 
Great. Though its trailer drop made some waves, its May 30 episode release caused a huge spike in online chatter: Eric premiered at #3 on Netflix’s top 10 shows list and has maxed out our social buzz meter (at 160) for the past two weeks. Viewers are talking about the central Family Tragedy (135) of A Missing Loved One (119) as the desperate parents search for their son.

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of scripted TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – 26 scripted TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen scripted TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Family Narratives and Other Key Drivers Behind Successful Historical Sagas

This week, we wanted to celebrate the introduction of Vault’s new Genre DNA™capabilities by diving into the landscape of a popular scripted subgenre that encompasses a wide variety of series: Historical Sagas. We took a closer look at the data to see what separates the truly stand-out successes–those that hit the zeitgeist, achieve popular acclaim, and, ideally, run for many seasons–from the rest of the pack.

Here’s what you need to know about the Historical Saga subgenre:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s the core audience for a successful historical saga? 
Older viewers. While a standout period drama can effectively appeal to either gender–and there are numerous examples in both camps, from the male-skewing Shōgun (62%), Peaky Blinders (65%) and Deadwood (60%) to the female-heavy Bridgerton (83%), The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (68%), and The Crown (72%)–the core demo they all have in common is a viewership that’s primarily aged 30+ (63-96%). The most popular shows seem comfortable leaning heavily into this built-in older audience, whereas less successful entrants in the subgenre, in contrast, tend to aim just a little bit younger.

What’s one of the key draws of the subgenre? 
A subculture deep-dive. The most compelling historical sagas on TV share a common thread: they all excel at bringing a specific time period to life, creating vivid, fully-realized worlds that viewers can’t resist exploring. Outlander, for example, time-travels between different periods in English and Scottish history (British Culture, 121); Peaky Blinders showcases a seedy Criminal Organization (129) in 1919; Downton Abbey looks at the upstairs-downstairs divide of English High Society (160)The Crown at modern English Royalty (160)Vikings at early Norse explorers (A Subculture Up Close, 119)Mad Men at 1960s Madison Avenue (A Subculture Up Close, 123), and 1923 at early twentieth-century American History (139). For these and other hit series, viewers tune in–and keep watching–to spend time in a rich, compelling, fully-fleshed out world that they haven’t seen before, and this aspect is an important driver across all four of our key categories (ratings, bingeability, social buzz, and longevity).

What’s the main storytelling approach among the most popular shows?
A focus on family. Across the most popular historical sagas on television, one storytelling approach consistently emerges as a key to success: anchoring the narrative in the dynamics of family relationships. From a family-run crime gang (Peaky Blinders, Family Relationships, 137) to a pair of married Russian spies (The Americans, Working with Family, 159), a tight-knit Scottish clan (Outlander, Extended Family, 126) to royalty confronting succession (The Crown, Family Legacy, 152), and a chaotic New York Jewish household (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, Family Disagreements, 160) to a kinship of Viking raiders (VikingsFamily Relationships, 160), the best series lean on the universality of family to keep their otherwise alien stories feeling grounded and relatable. In contrast, less successful historical sagas are more likely to feature other types of relationships (co-workers, teams, friends, wider communities) that, from the audience’s perspective, may not provide as rich a milieu to explore the norms of different eras.

Is there one specific tone that determines success? 
Not at all. The top period dramas depend on a wide range of emotional experiences to pull in viewers. Some tend toward the upbeat and positive, calling up emotions like AmazementJoyOptimismLove, and Awe (e.g., BridgertonCall the Midwife, The Chosen); others swing negative, drawing on darker feelings like AngerSadnessContemptLoathing, and Fear (e.g., 1923Deadwood, Peaky Blinders, Boardwalk Empire); and still others revel in covering both the highs and lows of the human experience in equal measure (e.g., Shōgun, The Crown, Downton AbbeyHell on WheelsReign).

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of scripted TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – 26 scripted TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen scripted TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Baby Reindeer is a Surprise Netflix Smash

Last month, Netflix premiered an under-the-radar new limited series that has turned into an unexpected smash hit, ultimately landing among the service’s most-watched programs in 90 countries and finishing up its sixth week (and counting) on the Top 10 list in the US. Based on the real-life experiences of writer/star Richard Gadd, the show traces a woman’s obsessive stalking of an aspiring comedian.

Here’s what you need to know about Baby Reindeer:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been tuning in for this blockbuster miniseries? 
We’re seeing a viewership that’s mostly female (60%) and mostly older (64% aged 30+)–the same ‘sweet spot’ audience for other dramatized limited series based on true crimes such as The WatcherCandy, A Friend of the Family, Under the Banner of HeavenThe Staircase, Inventing Anna, and The Girl from Plainville. That said, Baby Reindeer does lean a bit younger than these other shows, which range from 69-80% aged 30+.

What caused viewers to check out the show in the first place?
Its dark subject matter. The series chronicles the unnerving Stalking (160) and horrendous Sexual Abuse (152) experienced by aspiring comedian Donny Dunn: the former by a troubled woman with mental illness, the latter by a sadistic mentor-turned-predator within the comedy world. With Donny’s sense of self and well-being Under Threat (124), the stalker’s tactics escalating, and the pressure around him mounting, audiences have been eager to see how the story will unfold.

What has kept audiences watching through the finale? 
The Emotional Roller Coaster (113). Donny’s story injects a wide range of feelings and sensations into the viewing experience, from the Anger (129) and Terror (129) of being stalked to the Grief (123) and Fear (129) of becoming an unwitting victim of abuse, the Ecstasy (129) and Joy (129) of falling in love, to the Apprehension (129) and Vigilance (129) of trying to keep that loved one safe. Throughout the show, viewers crave this experience of being put through the emotional wringer. At the same time, the fact that the show is Based on a True Story (119)–creator Gadd really was stalked by a similar woman and abused by a similar mentor–has inspired many to become amateur online detectives, leveraging the ‘evidence’ doled out in the show to try and identify these characters’ real-world counterparts.

What has caused the show’s popularity to skyrocket? 
Word of mouth. Its social tracking suggests a smash hit that truly came out of nowhere; the late-March trailer premiere made barely a ripple (hovering at an average-level (95) on our social buzz meter), and the actual episode drop on April 11 flew similarly under the radar (edging up to a still-average (99)). However, as more and more viewers found the show, its buzz started to spike, finally maxing out our meter (at an ‘outstanding’ (160)) ten days after its release; the show has seen the same level of heavy, sustained chatter ever since.

Why did viewers want to spread the word about this series? 
To share Donny’s poignant Journey of Self Discovery (112). What makes Baby Reindeer so different from other true crime-type shows is its nuanced, human take on both victim and perpetrator, largely thanks to creator Gadd’s movingly honest self-reflection. Through Donny, Gadd is able to look back on the uneasy emotional and psychological odyssey of his past, which encompassed the lowest of lows (drugs, abuse), some moments of respite (Falling in Love, 118), and finally a sense of freedom in Coming Out (111) and finding Self Acceptance (118). All the while, the dry Voice-Over Narration (129) makes audiences privy to Donny’s innermost thoughts and feelings. All are key drivers for social buzz as well as bingeability.

Missed one of our recent rapid insights? Catch up on popular titles below:
A Very Royal Scandal Sets the Standard for Prestige Drama and Real-Life Scandal
English Teacher Rewrites the Rules of School-Based Comedies
Bad Monkey Injects Dark Comedy and Danger into Crime Drama
Time Bandits Balances a Cinematic World with TV Character Depth

 

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: The Veil Engages with High Stakes and Global Thrills

Today, FX on Hulu is releasing the first two episodes of its compelling new spy thriller miniseries from the creator of Peaky Blinders. The show stars Elisabeth Moss as a slippery MI6 agent tasked with pursuing a suspected female terrorist and uncovering her secrets before it’s too late.

Here’s what you need to know about The Veil:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who will be tuning in for this suspenseful drama? 
We’re predicting a viewership that leans toward men (53%) and skews heavily older (74% aged 30+). This tilt towards men–potentially because of the more intense violence–makes the show somewhat unusual among the list of thrillers that heavily feature female spies: the streaming audiences for Killing EveThe Americans, Hanna, NikitaCovert Affairs, and Alias all slanted toward women.

Why will viewers want to watch?
For the suspense. In the series, Moss’s Agent Imogen Salter–an erratic yet gifted chameleon who excels at undercover work–confidently puts her own Life in Danger (154) as she accepts a Dangerous Mission (125) to befriend a potential foreign terrorist and uncover essential secret information. Her relationship with the foreigner becomes increasingly fraught and loyalties become fluid (Betrayal, 132) as the situation–and the truth–become ever more complicated and lethal (Action & Violence, 139). All are top ratings drivers.

What type of viewing experience will audiences be looking for?
An intense one. The key emotional drivers for The Veil play up its suspense and tension and match the ethos of its challenging, complicated heroine. Viewers will be craving the sense of Fear (150)Anger (150)Aggressiveness (150), and Vigilance (146) brought on by its deadly central game of truth and lies, tempered by feelings of Awe (146) and Amazement (146) at Imogen’s expert abilities as an undercover spy.

What will keep audiences glued to their screens?
The tense Geopolitics (132). Behind Imogen’s covert mission is a knotty tangle of intergovernmental friction and one-upmanship among three countries’ central Espionage (133) agencies. Ruthless personalities within the CIA, the UK’s MI6, and France’s DGSE struggle for power and control while they pretend to cooperate in the face of an impending terrorist threat (Terrorism, 122), and it’s this government-based game of thrones that will keep viewers hooked. Looking back through StoryGuide, the idea of Geopolitics is a fairly rare viewership driver, even among other spy thrillers; The Veil joins only The Regime, Echo 3, The Undeclared WarVigil, Fauda, and Locked Up Abroad in the level of audience importance placed on the theme.

What’s the show’s biggest draw internationally?
Its global spy elements. The Veil offers up a strong international perspective, winding its story between the likes of Istanbul, London, and Paris, and it’s this global approach to espionage that will get non-US territories the most excited. This top driver shows the most promise in New Zealand (123)South Korea (120)Japan (112), and the UK (111), though France (107) seems a bit cooler toward the theme in spite of its own spy agency’s inclusion.

 

Meet Vault GPT

Your On-Demand Content Assistant

Vault GPT leverages the power of Vault’s vast content database and insights engine to transform development, marketing and sales workflows empowering users with ondemand coverage-like-summaries and briefs combined with insights – a cutting edge new tool for today’s executive.

100% safe and secure, Vault GPT is trained on over 60,000 film and television titles from the Vault database that contain both story and performance data.

Upload anything – a book, a script, a treatment – and let Vault GPT do the heavy lifting. In less than 1hr you’ll have automated summaries giving you insights into characters, key themes, plot, and even potential taglines.

Spots are limited, join the waitlist to secure your place in line.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside ratings performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Bodkin and the Rise of a New Kind of Protagonist

This Thursday, Netflix is releasing a new dramedy series that will play up true crime and add to a recent trend in modern protagonists: podcasters investigating a murder. Joining the likes of Peacock’s Based on a True Story, Hulu’s Only Murders in the Building, and Apple TV+’s Truth Be Told, this new show, which includes SNL’s Will Forte in its cast, will follow three podcasters looking into the mysterious disappearance of several strangers in a tiny Irish town.

Here’s what you need to know about Bodkin:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s the audience for these podcast-based series? 
Mature adults. All four of these shows appeal to a heavily older audience, landing at 70-76% aged 30+–a sweet spot that’s older than the typical podcast listener, potentially because of aged-up casts and darker themes. The gender skew, however, varies by series, with Only Murders and Truth Be Told skewing mostly female (63-64%) but Based on a True Story leaning more male (56%). For Bodkin, we’re predicting a gender-balanced viewership (52% male / 48% female).

What does Bodkin have in common with the other shows?
Comedy derived from its podcasters. Bodkin will be driving in a lane similar to both Based on a True Story and Only Murders in that its tone depends on a heavy dose of humor–in Bodkin’s case, sardonic, Twisted Humor (160), contrasting with Based’s Awkward & Funny Moments (130) and Only Murders’ Feel Good Humor (148). All three leverage a comical Team-Up (160) of clashing personalities–whether between goofy spouses (Based), cross-generational friends (Only Murders), or mismatched co-workers (Bodkin)–to inject lighter moments into their murderous drama. In this set, Truth Be Told is actually the odd one out; it’s a drama-thriller rather than comedy, and the main character records her podcast largely by herself.

How is Bodkin different from these other series?
It’s bleaker. The emotional experience that will pull audiences into Bodkin is darker and more harrowing, hinging on feelings like Contempt (160)Terror (121)Rage (116)Annoyance (114), and Fear (111) as the mystery unfurls, the stakes get higher, and the podcasters grow increasingly (and hilariously) pessimistic. The show will also lean heavily into gallows-style humor and colorful Profanity (160), in stark contrast with its predecessors that found success leveraging more pleasant emotions like Anticipation (128) (Truth Be Told), Love (113) (Only Murders), and Acceptance (117) (Based on a True Story).

How else will Bodkin set itself apart?
With its setting. Bodkin will essentially be a ‘fish out of water’ story, with three big-city podcasters visiting an idyllic (and fictitious) small town in rural Ireland and attempting to break through the locals’ hostility toward strangers. Their dip into Irish Culture (121) and their sojourn through the country’s beautiful green landscape (Outdoor Adventure, 157) will help with both ratings and bingeability and provide a unique twist on the theme; in contrast, the other three series all take place in familiar American locales.

What keeps these types of series running through multiple seasons?
The Murder Mysteries (130). For all shows of this ilk, the protagonists’ efforts in Solving a Murder (129) and engaging in Investigative Journalism (125) provide the overarching story engine that keeps audiences coming back. Each season brings a brand new case, with viewers eagerly following along as the podcasters follow clues, interview suspects, and finally announce whodunnit. If Bodkin secures a season two, it will be the irresistibility of its small-town murders that get it there.

Missed one of our recent rapid insights? Catch up on popular titles below:
The Day of the Jackal’s Dual Perspectives Revitalize the Thriller
Family Narratives and Other Key Drivers Behind Successful Historical Sagas
English Teacher Rewrites the Rules of School-Based Comedies

 

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: The Sympathizer Balances Spy Thriller and Sleek Satire

A critically-acclaimed new limited series has just premiered on Max that’s an adaptation of a popular Pulitzer Prize-winning novel. A historical satire, the show follows a Viet Cong spy who becomes embedded in L.A.’s South Vietnamese refugee community at the end of the Vietnam War; the cast includes Oscar-winner Robert Downey Jr. playing multiple antagonists.

Here’s what you need to know about The Sympathizer:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s tuning in for this new limited series? 
Older men. The streaming audience for The Sympathizer is mostly male (59% on Max) and heavily older, skewing predominantly aged 35+ (77% on Max); males 45+ make up the largest segment in both cases. This profile is similar to other action-thriller-dark comedy hybrids like Barry and Mr. and Mrs. Smith.

What type of story is The Sympathizer telling?
A thrilling yet funny one. The series features a heavy dose of intriguing Espionage (126) as the protagonist (known only as The Captain) pretends to be an American-sympathizing refugee while secretly reporting back to his Viet Cong handlers. At the same time, this dual-identity tension is laced with dark, satirical, Twisted Humor (117) thanks to Downey Jr.’s parade of absurdist bureaucrats that skewer America’s sense of self-importance. In this genre-melding, The Sympathizer follows in the footsteps of other spy-comedies like ArcherSAS Rogue Heroes, FUBAR, and Slow Horses, all of which depend on various types of humor set against a spy-thriller backdrop as their key viewership drivers.

Which aspect of the show is the most important for pulling in viewers?
The spy trappings. The Captain’s Secret Identity (123) as a North Vietnamese mole and the tangled web of Secrets & Lies (135) that he spins are top drivers for both ratings and bingeability. The gripping suspense surrounding his deceit and potential capture keeps audiences on the edge of their seats as they lean into the Surprise (135) and Terror (118) of each new situation.

What else does this series have to offer?
A human element. The protagonist’s enduring relationship with two boyhood friends–one a fellow Viet Cong secret agent, the other traumatized by the North killing his family–provides the emotional core of the story (Male Friendship, 118). These ties carry The Captain through a rough childhood (Troubled Past, 112), complicate his journey through war and its aftermath, and ultimately help him decide who he wants to become (A New Beginning, 116). All are secondary ratings drivers for the show.

How important is the show’s ties to its namesake novel?
Very. The fact that it’s based on an award-winning, widely-read book (IP Extension, 121) is an important factor in the series’ bingeability. And like its eponymous novel, the show bridges multiple genres to round out its storytelling, all of which contribute to its appeal: hints of War (128)History (127)Drama (122), Western (119)Biography (118), and Action (114) all undergird  its comedic and spy-thriller core.

 

Meet Vault GPT

Your On-Demand Content Assistant

Vault GPT leverages the power of Vault’s vast content database and insights engine to transform development, marketing and sales workflows empowering users with ondemand coverage-like-summaries and briefs combined with insights – a cutting edge new tool for today’s executive.

100% safe and secure, Vault GPT is trained on over 60,000 film and television titles from the Vault database that contain both story and performance data.

Upload anything – a book, a script, a treatment – and let Vault GPT do the heavy lifting. In less than 1hr you’ll have automated summaries giving you insights into characters, key themes, plot, and even potential taglines.

Spots are limited, join the waitlist to secure your place in line.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside ratings performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

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Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Knuckles Cracks Open the Sonic the Hedgehog Cinematic Universe

Later this month, Paramount+ is releasing the first TV entry in its Sonic Cinematic Universe, an expanding live action/CGI-hybrid world based on SEGA’s famous video game series. The events of the show take place between films Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (2022) and the upcoming Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (2024), as Knuckles the Echidna (voiced by Idris Elba) trains a human deputy sheriff (Adam Pally) in the ways of the Echidna warrior.

Here’s what you need to know about Knuckles:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Is this new show only for kids? 
No. In spite of its TV-PG rating, we’re predicting a viewership that’s fairly evenly split across age groups (53% <30 / 47% 30+), suggesting that–like the Sonic movies before it–Knuckles’s mix of fun and nostalgia will attract general and family audiences alike. Also in keeping with the film series, we’re expecting a heavily male (71%) skew thanks to the high dose of gamer-friendly Stylized Action & Violence (160).

Why will audiences be tuning in?
For the same elements that have worked so well in the Sonic movies. Like SonicKnuckles is, at heart, a Buddy Comedy (160) that leverages an Unlikely Friendship (159) between two opposite personalities–in this case a self-serious, pompous, hot-headed alien echidna (Anthropomorphic Creature, 160) and a goofy, hapless, mild-mannered human. The resulting humor (Comedy, 121)–combined with an exciting core of Sci-Fi (133) Action (123) Adventure (135)–will pull in viewers looking for a fun ride.

What will keep viewers watching?
The fight between Good vs. Evil (119). Knuckles sees himself as a warrior On a Mission (143) to protect the world, fighting to maintain Honor (141)Tranquility (141), and Power (134) over the nefarious villains who would steal his alien super strength. His Mentorship (137) of a hapless human heightens the stakes–is this inept deputy sheriff the only support Knuckles will have in the final battle? All are key viewership drivers.

How important is the Sonic IP?
Very. The fact that Knuckles is directly connected to the theatrical films–as well as the original SEGA video games–is a crucial ratings driver (IP Extension, 154). Its familiar Distinctly Realized World (138) of heroes, villains, super-charged action, and golden rings will pull in fans of both media.

Will the show see a high level of buzz?
Most likely. Our social buzz meter saw a huge spike with the early February release of the trailer (to 149, out of a possible 160), a feat that will likely be repeated when the series premieres in two weeks. VIewers will be talking about the comical echidna-human pairing at the show’s center as well as its video game-style action and core good vs. evil battle.

 

Meet Vault GPT

Your On-Demand Content Assistant

Vault GPT leverages the power of Vault’s vast content database and insights engine to transform development, marketing and sales workflows empowering users with ondemand coverage-like-summaries and briefs combined with insights – a cutting edge new tool for today’s executive.

100% safe and secure, Vault GPT is trained on over 60,000 film and television titles from the Vault database that contain both story and performance data.

Upload anything – a book, a script, a treatment – and let Vault GPT do the heavy lifting. In less than 1hr you’ll have automated summaries giving you insights into characters, key themes, plot, and even potential taglines.

Spots are limited, join the waitlist to secure your place in line.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside ratings performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

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Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Deal or No Deal Island Brings Survivor Strategy to Franchise

A smash-hit mid-2000s game show has found new life as a reconfigured spin-off, currently airing on NBC and billed as “Deal or No Deal meets Survivor.” This time hosted by actor Joe Manganiello instead of comedian Howie Mandel, the action has been moved from a studio soundstage to a tropical island, with contestants now competing to collect the potentially prize-filled briefcases.

Here’s what you need to know about Deal or No Deal Island:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Is the audience for this new spin-off the same as for its predecessor? 
Yes. We’re seeing a viewership that’s mostly female (63%) and heavily older (91% aged 35+), a near exact match for the original Deal or No Deal as well as both recent game show revivals like Password, Press Your LuckTo Tell the Truth, and The $100,000 Pyramid and long-running competition-style reality series like Survivor, Big Brother, and The Amazing Race.
How important is the Deal or No Deal game play?
Very. This spin-off’s links to the popular original show and its numbered briefcases (IP Extension, 144) are crucial for both its bingeability and longevity. Audiences are still leaning in to watch the contestants face the same Tough Decisions (113)–will they accept or reject the Banker’s offer?–though this time, there’s a twist. Instead of winning the money in the final briefcase, players are either eliminated (if they accept a “bad deal” from the Banker) or get to choose the person who is (if they accept a “good deal”), adding a whole new layer of Emotional Turmoil (123).
What elements does this show share with Survivor?
Strategy, alliances, and sabotage. Unlike the original Deal or No Deal, which featured a brand new player every week, Island begins with 13 contestants and follows the single-elimination format favored by most competition-style series, with only one person playing the briefcase game at the end of each episode. A host of Survival Skills (115)Creativity on Display (113), and naked Ambition & Drive (129) go into determining who gets to face the Banker; this season’s contestant roster even includes a well-known Survivor personality (“Boston” Rob) to demonstrate the clever tactics and manipulative Life Lessons (141) he picked up from the other show.
Which series is closer to Deal or No Deal Island’s emotional experience?
Survivor. With the original Deal or No Deal, audiences were captured by the tension (Vigilance, 134; Surprise, 128) as each contestant chose between “deal” or “no deal” and opened their final briefcase–which also caused viewers to post and tweet online. Survivor, on the other hand, gained popularity thanks to the cunning, foolish, or downright bizarre choices of its players, engendering a wide variety of emotional reactions from Rage (135) and Contempt (130) to Apprehension (129)Admiration (125), and Interest (125)Island has more in common with the latter, driving social buzz with a mix of Loathing (123)Sadness (119)Annoyance (118), and Joy (117) as viewers cheer or lament the fate of their favorites.
What will help this new show reach a second season?
The mini challenges. Each episode, players compete to nab hidden or submerged briefcases in a grueling Treasure Hunt (127) that’s a Race Against Time (152); the person whose briefcase contains the highest dollar figure will ultimately decide who plays the Deal or No Deal game. Considerable strategizing goes into this choice, as the briefcase game player will end up either going home or seizing all the power (Winning, 129). All are key drivers for longevity.

 

Meet Vault GPT

Your On-Demand Content Assistant

Vault GPT leverages the power of Vault’s vast content database and insights engine to transform development, marketing and sales workflows empowering users with ondemand coverage-like-summaries and briefs combined with insights – a cutting edge new tool for today’s executive.

100% safe and secure, Vault GPT is trained on over 60,000 film and television titles from the Vault database that contain both story and performance data.

Upload anything – a book, a script, a treatment – and let Vault GPT do the heavy lifting. In less than 1hr you’ll have automated summaries giving you insights into characters, key themes, plot, and even potential taglines.

Spots are limited, join the waitlist to secure your place in line.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside ratings performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: Shōgun, A Fresh Twist on Throne Games

Currently releasing on FX is a hot new retelling of a bestselling 1975 novel, and the critically-acclaimed limited series is already snapping up viewers. Set in 1600s feudal Japan, the historical saga follows three protagonists–a powerful warlord fighting dangerous political rivals, an English sailor shipwrecked on unfamiliar shores, and a highborn lady with dishonorable family ties–and highlights the beauty and violence of its turning-point era.

Here’s what you need to know about Shōgun:

Vault uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been watching this new drama series? 
We’re seeing an audience that leans male (53%) and is mostly older (68% aged 35+). Gender-wise, this profile is extremely similar to other historical epics like VikingsMarco PoloKnightfallThe TudorsThe Last Kingdom, and even Game of Thrones but age-wise, Shōgun runs younger than its linear-based brethren.

How’s its social buzz looking?
Strong. While its early trailer drop netted only a slight bump in online chatter (peaking at 117 back in November), a :30 spot during February’s Super Bowl suddenly catapulted the show into the national conversation (maxing out our meter at 160). Its buzz spiked again soon after (again at 160) with the Feb 27 release of the first two episodes, and it’s been riding high ever since.

What’s drawing viewers to this complex saga?
The machinations and power plays. Critics are comparing Shōgun to Game of Thrones thanks to its complicated plotting, Political Manipulations (111), and backstabbing between rivals to secure the ultimate title–in this case shōgun, the top military commander and de facto ruler of pre-Edo Japan. The Ambition & Drive (139) on display and overall Power Struggle (139) between warring factions are the show’s top viewership drivers, important for ratings, bingeability, and social buzz. The gruesome, Stylized Action & Violence (136) and intense, period-accurate Battle Action (127) that result are likewise big audience draws–and similarly increase the Game of Thrones parallels.

Are the characters themselves important?
Yes. Beyond the plotting and fighting, audiences are looking to personal relationships within the story to provide both humanity and intrigue. Shōgun follows the Unlikely Friendship (131) (and Interracial Partnership, 133) between samurai Lord Yoshii Toranaga and stranded English navigator John Blackthorne as they join forces–albeit turbulently–to navigate and survive the era’s complex political situation. At the same time, there’s Romantic Conflict (127) between Blackthorne and the unhappily married Lady Mariko (a Strong Female Protagonist (123) in her own right), which adds a sense of melancholic passion. These three main characters are also loosely based on real-life historical figures, generating an extra layer of viewer interest.

Is this show likely to succeed in Japan?
Yes and no. While the show boasts a number of compelling viewership drivers in America, the only one that lands as at least “promising” for Japan is the Stylized Action & Violence (118 in that market) of the historical samurai fights and feudal battles. The other elements that make Shōgun stand out for US viewers–especially its deep dive into Japanese Culture (131 for the US, a big ratings booster)–are, presumably, more common in the country’s own local programming and thus not terribly distinguishing (Japanese Culture rates a non-influential 88 for Japan). On the other hand, the show boasts an acclaimed Japanese cast and historical period accuracy, which may nevertheless help it find solid footing.

 

Meet Vault GPT

Your On-Demand Content Assistant

Vault GPT leverages the power of Vault’s vast content database and insights engine to transform development, marketing and sales workflows empowering users with ondemand coverage-like-summaries and briefs combined with insights – a cutting edge new tool for today’s executive.

100% safe and secure, Vault GPT is trained on over 60,000 film and television titles from the Vault database that contain both story and performance data.

Upload anything – a book, a script, a treatment – and let Vault GPT do the heavy lifting. In less than 1hr you’ll have automated summaries giving you insights into characters, key themes, plot, and even potential taglines.

Spots are limited, join the waitlist to secure your place in line.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside ratings performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

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