Rapid Insights: ‘Win or Lose’ Expands Pixar’s Legacy with Original Storytelling

Disney+ has just added an original new animated comedy to its Pixar line-up that, unlike most of its predecessors, is not based on an earlier film, and critics are already dubbing it a home run. The show tracks a middle-school co-ed softball team in the weeks before their big championship game, and each episode shows the same events from the perspective of a different character using a unique visual style.

Here’s what you need to know about Win or Lose:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been tuning in for this new animated series? 
We’re seeing a demographic profile that, thanks to its sports focus, leans mostly to boys and men (61%) and suggests a healthy dose of family co-viewing (58% aged <30 / 42% aged 30+). This audience closely mirrors that of fellow Pixar adventure-comedy Cars on the Road, while both Monsters at Work and Dream Productions pull in more parents (50% aged <30 / 50% aged 30+).

Why are viewers watching? 
For the Pixar of it all. Though Win or Lose can’t lean on familiar characters and storylines to draw in eager fans, the fact that the show is still an Animated Comedy (160) from the beloved studio is its top ratings draw. Similarly, its most inherently Pixar-like themes–a Journey of Self Discovery (160), deep Friendships (129) and Family Relationships (150), lesson-worthy Emotional Turmoil (141)–drive its viewership and social buzz. The show benefits from the brand’s reputation for high-quality storytelling in the same way its predecessors–Cars on the Road (Cars), Monsters at Work (Monsters, Inc.), Dream Productions (Inside Out), Forky Asks a Question (Toy Story), Dug Days (Up)–could point to the first-class films that birthed them.

What’s making the show so binge-worthy? 
A peek into childhood. Win or Lose’s multi-character Coming of Age (123) story and effective portrayal of the ups and downs of middle school (Tweener Life, 127Bullying, 115) are the top drivers for its bingeability. Its silly, kid-friendly Over-the-Top Humor (118) layers on top to lighten the tone and inject a compelling sense of fun.

What type of viewing experience are audiences leaning into? 
An affecting one. Pixar is known for showing a broad sweep of deeply-felt emotions, and Win or Lose is no exception. As its middle-school protagonists struggle to gain Acceptance (117), make friends (Social Contact, 146), follow their Idealism (136), and meet Family (147) demands, viewers are being drawn in by the universal relatability of their emotions: everything from Awe (160)Optimism (148), and Ecstasy (139) to Grief (143)Contempt (136), and Remorse (136).

What will help propel Win or Lose into a second season? 
Sports. The series’ heavy Sports Focus (140) and accompanying themes (Competition, 143; Coach-Athlete Relationships, 134; Overcoming Adversity, 132) offer rich story fodder for future potential seasons. Audiences want to see the young protagonists continue to grow, improve their softball skills, and, hopefully, apply lessons learned on the field to their everyday lives.

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Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

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Rapid Insights: ‘Apple Cider Vinegar’ Explores How True-Con Blends Fact, Fiction, and Frenzy

Netflix just released a buzzy new limited series that fits right into the modern trend of dramatizing real-life cons and scams. Joining the likes of Inventing AnnaThe Dropout, and The Thing About Pam, this new show tells the story of Belle Gibson, an Australian wellness influencer who faked a battle with cancer to promote her own brand of alternative medicine.

Here’s what you need to know about Apple Cider Vinegar:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Is there a common audience for this type of true-con drama? 
Sort of. The most notable examples of this microtrend–Apple Cider VinegarInventing Anna, The Thing About Pam, Dirty John–tend to focus on female scammers or their female marks, and so their audience tends to be mostly women (64-70%). The Dropout, which details Elizabeth Holmes’ run at Theranos, is the major exception, reaching a gender-balanced viewership (50% men / 50% women). In addition, while all skew heavily toward those 30+, the social media connection of Apple Cider Vinegar appeals to a slightly younger audience (63%) than its genre brethren (69-80%).

How important is the con in attracting viewers? 
Very. The real-life Scams (131, Apple Cider Vinegar), hidden Secrets & Lies (128, Inventing Anna), and Betrayals (121, Dirty John) perpetrated in each of these cases–capped off by their resulting media Scandals (127, The Dropout)–are top drivers of viewership for their respective series. This aspect of the plot, as well as the fact that they’re all Based on True Stories, particularly contributes to bingeability, with audiences watching eagerly to see how each scammer gets caught.

What’s the opportunity for social buzz within this microgenre? 
Extremely high. The Thing About Pam, The Dropout, and Inventing Anna all maxed out our social buzz meter (to 160) for a sustained period during their initial runs, with Anna in particular demonstrating robust staying power. The outrageous nature of these scams tends to get people talking, and their prolonged online chatter keeps interest high. So far, Apple Cider Vinegar is mimicking the pattern set by Inventing Anna: a sharp rise in buzz immediately after release that has yet to waver many days later.

What sets Apple Cider Vinegar apart from these similar shows? 
Its all-too-relevant cultural commentary. In delving into the world of cancer patients (Illness, 145) and treatments (Medical Procedures, 133), the show not only skewers the dubious credibility of modern social media and its self-styled wellness influencers, but also the medical establishment that fails to treat patients like human beings. Belle Gibson uses fraud to gain Social Status (124) and wealth via social media app (Gizmos & Technology, 117), but her Selfishness (119) and Moral Corruption (111) have lethal consequences as her followers adopt her worthless health advice. At the same time, the show is sympathetic to the desperate women who turn to her channel when they feel unsupported and dismissed by their mainstream doctors.

How does Australians’ interest in this series differ from Americans’?
The social media aspect isn’t a driver. While audiences Down Under are as invested as Americans in Apple Cider Vinegar’s portrayal of their own local scam artist (Antihero, AU 133) and the real-life Scandal (AU 137) she perpetrated, they’re not as captivated by the venue of her fraud. Belle Gibson’s burning desire for Social Status (AU 40) via social media apps (Gizmos & Technology, AU 40) only registers in the “disappointing” range in Australia, far below the level of interest shown in the US.

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Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

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Rapid Insights: ‘Paradise’ Reveals the Art of Blending Sci-Fi into Prestige Thrillers

Hulu recently premiered a buzzy new mystery-thriller series laced with a sci-fi twist, and it’s already creating a major stir among critics and viewers alike. Set in a seemingly idyllic, peaceful community populated by the world’s elite, the show follows a steely Secret Service agent (Sterling K. Brown) investigating the murder of the U.S. President (James Marsden) he was sworn to protect.

Here’s what you need to know about Paradise:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been watching this exciting new series? 
Paradise is an effective blend of Mystery (125)Crime (123)Thriller (118)Sci-Fi (113), and Drama (113), and its resulting viewership profile lands it right in the middle of these genre audiences. The show is more gender-balanced (53% men / 47% women) than other political thrillers that lean heavily into sci-fi (SiloThe ExpanseBattlestar Galactica – 59-67% men), action (The Night Agent, The Recruit24 – 59-62% men), or melodrama (Scandal, The Family – both 72% women). Instead, it aims right down the middle and fits best alongside shows like Designated SurvivorHouse of Cards, and Madam Secretary.

Why are so many viewers tuning in? 
For the protagonist’s struggle. Agent Xavier Collins–the Secret Service operative at the center of the whirlpool–makes for a sharply compelling lead as he grapples with the ramifications of the President’s murder. As the head of POTUS’s security detail, his Psychological Turmoil (144) is overwhelming: it happened on his watch, he’s one of the top suspects (Under Threat, 160), and at least a part of him wanted the man dead (Inner Conflict, 125). Audiences are clamoring to watch him navigate the politically treacherous waters within the nation’s greatest halls of power in a fight that’s perilously ‘sink or swim.’

What kind of emotional experience is the show offering? 
A tense one. Viewers are experiencing the same Fear (120)Rage (110), and Disgust (110) as Agent Collins as he embarks on a High Stakes (121)Dangerous Mission (125) to uncover and expose the truth. These suspense-thriller elements are contributing heavily to the show’s ratings.

What’s making Paradise so watchable?
The broader mystery. The series’ bingability is being driven by the shadowy goings-on behind the scenes of government, as a series of high-powered Conspiracies and Cover Ups (134) and unscrupulous Secret Organizations (114) are slowly brought into focus. All is not as it seems within Paradise’s slice-of-Americana utopia, and the questions surrounding who killed the President may or may not be linked to a series of life-or-death decisions he made for the nation only three years before (Political Manipulation, 121).

How’s the show’s social buzz? 
On cloud nine. A two-day-early surprise pilot drop catapulted the level of online chatter to the top of our buzz meter (at 160), and it hasn’t budged from that high ever since. This pattern is somewhat unusual for a series with a weekly roll-out; most shows see a notable dip in buzz between episodes, suggesting that Paradise boasts much higher-than-average stickiness and momentum.

 

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

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