Rapid Insights: ‘NCIS: Tony & Ziva’ Reunites Iconic Duo in Serialized First

Paramount+ recently premiered a buzzy new spin-off of the long-running NCIS that marks the franchise’s first foray into truly serialized storytelling. The show reunites two beloved characters who left NCIS years ago and follows them–now exes and co-parents–on the run across Europe as they struggle to piece together who’s after them and why.

Here’s what you need to know about NCIS: Tony & Ziva:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Is the same NCIS audience tuning in for this spin-off? 
Yes. We’re seeing a viewership that leans toward women (56%) and is mostly aged 35+ (90%)–a nearly spot-on match for the other NCIS-branded series, even though they aired on broadcast and Tony & Ziva is native to streaming. This new show is also helping to attract more women to Paramount+, as many of the platform’s other recent releases (MobLand, Landman, Mayor of Kingstown, Tulsa King, 1923) have appealed much more strongly to men.

How important is the franchise connection? 
Extremely. Tony & Ziva’s link to the original NCIS is its #1 viewership driver and overall ratings propeller (IP Extension, 150)–a fact it actually shares with its predecessor, itself a spin-off of 90s drama JAG (NCIS: IP Extension, 160). Similarly, the fact that the new show brings back two long-departed fan-favorite NCIS characters–they’re together again onscreen for the first time in twelve years (Reunion, 122)–is stoking fan fervor, with their electric On Again, Off Again Relationship (125) taking center stage in a way it never could on the main series. The pair’s continuing love story is contributing to Tony & Ziva’s bingeability, longevity, and social buzz.

Does Tony & Ziva rely on the same elements that have made NCIS so successful?
No. The D.C.-set NCIS as well as its prior spin-offs (Los Angeles, New Orleans, Hawaii, Sydney, and Origins) are case-of-the-week Police Procedurals (160), each following a series of episode-long Criminal Investigations (130) driven by a US Federal Agency (122) and peppered by the Workplace Dynamics (116) of its staff. While this formula has proven to be episodic gold, propelling the original series through twenty-three seasons and counting, the new Tony & Ziva is branching out into less familiar territory, leaning heavily into serialized storytelling and landing closer to an international spy thriller.

What’s making Tony & Ziva stand out as unique? 
Character drama and sustained suspense. While the original NCIS hinted at Tony and Ziva’s personal lives and peppered in a few reveals, their new namesake show delves much deeper into their complicated Family Life (145) as Protective Parents (146) to a 12-year-old daughter and clashing exes who still feel a spark. The series amps up the tension–both personal and professional–by sending them on the run together across Europe with their Lives in Danger (127) as mysterious foes both set them up and try to take them down (Being Hunted, 135). The thrill of watching them Search for the Truth (130) in a Race Against Time (130) to clear their names and save their child is helping to drive ratings and bingeability, while their unusual family dynamic offers great promise for future seasons.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

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Rapid Insights: ‘Black Rabbit’ Blends Dysfunctional Brothers With Dark Crime Chaos

Netflix recently released a buzzy new limited series whose bleak tale of loyalty and self-destruction has gotten both critics and audiences talking. Starring Jude Law and Jason Bateman, the chaotic crime thriller follows an ambitious restaurateur who’s dragged into New York’s seedy underworld when his no-good brother re-enters his life.

Here’s what you need to know about Black Rabbit:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been adding this dark thriller to their queue? 
We’re seeing an audience that skews toward men (54%) and those 35+ (78%), but not too different from the gender-balanced viewership of Ozark (50% men / 50% women), also starring Jason Bateman. Other Netflix-based action-laced crime dramas like Narcos and Peaky Blinders tended to bring in even more men.

What’s the show’s main pull? 
The brothers. The show follows ambitious, slimy restaurateur Jake and his seedy gambling-addict brother Vince, and their fraught, dysfunctional Sibling Relationship (160) is Black Rabbit’s #1 overall viewership driver. The pair have a long history of codependency, resentment, and trauma (Family Dysfunction, 121), and their current dynamic–a reignition of greed, anger, and Sibling Rivalry (115) after a long period of estrangement–sets up such an arresting trainwreck that viewers can’t look away. At the same time, and even in spite of mutual Betrayals (118), the pair’s loyalty runs bone-deep, with Jake risking his own neck and club to save Vince from past bad decisions. These multiple layers of complexity make for a compelling central relationship.

What’s making the show so addictive?
Suspense and tension. When Vince rolls back into town, on the run yet again from another deal gone bad, he’s suddenly faced with repaying a substantial debt to a dangerous loan shark who’s extremely eager to collect. With the loan shark’s enforcers threatening their livelihoods and loved ones (Near Death Experience, 115), the brothers must figure out how to get the money without getting anyone killed (High Stakes, 120; Under Threat, 114) or losing ownership of Jake’s top-tier restaurant. The series goes to some very bleak, pitch-black places (Dark Themes, 125) as it follows the pair’s chaotic decision-making, and it’s this overarching sense of stress and darkness that’s keeping viewers tuned in to see what happens next.

What could earn the show another season? 
The bookies. If Netflix and the showrunners change their minds about stopping at one season, there’s more juice to be squeezed from the unique and compelling Criminal Organization (135) that’s introduced in the show. Head boss Mancuso, his brutal henchmen, his keen-to-prove-himself son, and their wider criminal network are collectively Black Rabbit’s top driver for longevity, and the ins and outs of their sordid business offer plenty of opportunities for future storylines. Audiences will want to return for more of the same dark overtones and tense-filled emotions (Aggressiveness, 125; Contempt, 121; Disapproval, 113) that they ate up in season one.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

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Rapid Insights: ‘Task’ Shows Crime Dramas Win With Dual Leads Haunted by the Past

HBO recently premiered a dark and gritty new crime drama from the creator of Mare of Easttown that has critics buzzing and ranks within the top five series debuts ever on HBO Max. Starring Mark Ruffalo, the limited series follows a police task force investigating a series of violent trap house robberies carried out by an unassuming family man.

Here’s what you need to know about Task:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been tuning in for this intense new drama? 
We’re seeing an audience that skews toward men (56%) and those 35+ (92% on linear HBO)–a not-atypical viewership profile for male-fronted gritty crime thrillers on HBO. Shows like We Own This CityThe Penguin, and the first season of True Detective had a similar bent. The showrunner’s own Mare of Easttown, however, leaned much more toward women (57%), likely because of its strong female lead.

What’s the show’s main pull? 
Parallel group dynamics. Task follows both a crew of violent drug den robbers, led by optimistic everyman Robbie, and the cross-agency task force assigned to bring them down, headed by haunted FBI agent Tom. The complex interplay within the teams, heightened by the compellingly unique personalities on each (Team Dynamics, 129), make up the show’s #1 ratings driver, with both sides balancing out the yin to the other’s yang. At the same time, Task goes deeper, tracing the fractured Family Relationships (116) in Tom and Robbie’s home lives as neither man can protect his loved ones from the darkness he’s drawn into at work. This secondary focus makes the series somewhat unique, as the Team Dynamics driver in gritty crime is much more likely to be paired with themes based on the group mission (Ambition & Drive, Dangerous Mission) rather than the players’ families back home.

How important are the individual protagonists? 
They drive the show’s bingeability. In addition to fitting the team dynamics, both Robbie and Tom make for fascinating character studies in their own right, with audiences eager to see them counter traumatic backstories (Overcoming Adversity, 135), grapple with questions of fatherhood and family, and generally confront their darkness and pain (Struggling, 114). The cat-and-mouse game that unfolds between them, with Robbie and his crew trying to outwit Tom and his team of agents (Being Hunted, 124)–culminating in a final resolute showdown (Confrontation, 110)–is keeping viewers glued to their seats, waiting to see how and if each man subdues his own demons.

What type of story is Task telling?
A multi-faceted one. While most obviously a dark, grim Crime (131) Thriller (119), the series also weaves in elements across several other genres to construct a more complex whole. Tom and Robbie’s archetypal standoff (cop vs criminal, good vs evil) alludes to a typical Western (118) while going much deeper, as both sides are much grayer than the stereotypical black and white.  At the same time, while Task is no whodunnit, it preserves some elements of Mystery (117) as Tom’s task force must link Robbie’s law-abiding public identity to his after-hours criminality (Secret Identity, 111), and both Tom and Robbie’s home lives offer up fertile ground for emotional Drama (113).

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

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Rapid Insights: ‘The Paper’ Proves ‘Office’ IP Sparks Interest, but Fresh Satire Sustains It

Peacock recently released a sequel of sorts to NBC’s iconic hit The Office, and the show has made such a mark that it has already been renewed for a second season. In this new sitcom, the documentary film crew that was shooting in the titular Scranton, PA, office for nine seasons has now decamped for Toledo, OH, to focus on a struggling local newspaper and its quirky staffers.

Here’s what you need to know about The Paper:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been tuning in for this quirky new sitcom? 
We’re seeing an audience that’s 53% men and 69% aged 35+–a notably different viewer profile than other similar shows because of its streaming-only format. Previous workplace comedies like The OfficeParks and RecreationAbbott Elementary, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, and 30 Rock, all of which aired on the broadcast networks, have all tended to skew much more toward women (59-62%) and even more heavily to those 35+ (87-92%) thanks to built-in differences between the linear and streaming audiences.

What does The Paper carry over from The Office?  
Its set-up. Like its predecessor, The Paper relies on a clever mockumentary format to explore the offbeat Workplace Dynamics (145) and unusual Co-worker Relationships (145) in an office populated by a host of eccentric characters, and its humor relies on the cringe-worthy Awkward & Funny Moments (153) born from their interactions and direct-to-camera asides. These common elements are the series’ top viewership drivers overall and likewise played an important role in The Office’s success. Additionally, both shows share a common character, with exasperated accountant Oscar unhappily finding himself once again in front of the cameras after he moves away from Scranton.

What’s defining The Paper as its own thing? 
A New Beginning (125), both for the show and its titular newspaper. The first season of The Office was, more or less, a recreation of the original British series, and fans already knew what to expect in terms of characters, relationships, and general storylines. This connection (IP Extension, 124), as well as the anticipated themes of Workplace Romance (149) and Male Friendships (140) that were transposed from one set of characters to another, drove early interest, and even non-fans could see how these compelling dynamics would start to play out from the trailers. The Paper, however, is starting with more of a blank slate and viewers know a bit less about what to expect; consequently, its direct link to The Office is nowhere to be found among its top drivers, and the themes propelling its ratings are more generalized (“Co-worker Relationships” rather than the specificities of “Workplace Romance” or “Male Friendship”). Instead, this new series is mimicking its protagonists as they venture into the unknown and reconfigure their lives (Lifestyle Change, 123).

What about The Paper’s style of comedy?
It’s landing as more topical. Whereas both The Office and The Paper take the same humorous tone and feature branches of the same paper manufacturing conglomerate, the latter zooms in on a subgroup attempting to revive a small local newspaper and tracks mediocre paper salespeople striving to become decent amateur journalists. This semi-serious focus on legacy media and struggling reporters at a time when the legitimacy of the press and News Reports (125) are widely questioned may be helping The Paper to feel especially current and of-the-moment. Its witty Satirical Humor (140) and overall style of Parody (138) are driving its bingeability, whereas these particular flavors of comedy did not register at all for The Office’s first season.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

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Rapid Insights: ‘Butterfly’ Demonstrates Why Action Thrillers Hit Harder When POV Turns Personal

Amazon Prime Video recently premiered a buzzy new spy-based action-thriller that’s making audiences sit up and lean forward. Based on a graphic novel, this new series follows a former agent who, nine years after faking his own death to go into hiding, discovers that the daughter he left behind has become a terrifying and lethal assassin for his same villainous agency.

Here’s what you need to know about Butterfly:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been watching this exciting new series?
We’re seeing an audience that leans toward women (58%) and is mostly aged 35+ (84%)–an older and more female-skewing viewership than we often see for action-heavy spy thrillers on streaming services. Shows like The Night AgentJack Ryan, and the Citadel franchise tend to appeal more strongly to men and pull in a few more <35s than Butterfly. The latter’s deep exploration of a father-daughter relationship and its two strong female leads (one protagonist, one antagonist) may help account for its differing demographic profile.

Why have viewers been tuning in? 
For the amped-up excitement. Butterfly offers up plenty of gunfights, hand-to-hand combat, car chases, explosions, and other heart-pounding Action & Violence (139) as former agent David Jung is forced to tangle once again with the dangerous intelligence agency that betrayed him nine years prior. Determined to finally take them down (Dangerous Mission, 139), David must recruit his estranged daughter (Team Up, 111) and fight back against an army of ruthless operatives (Overcoming Adversity, 116) to achieve justice at long last. The fact that the show is set in South Korea and boasts a  diverse ensemble cast (Cultural Diversity, 127) adds to its draws and sets up another key ratings driver.

What’s making this first season so bingeworthy? 
The family drama. Butterfly examines the complex Father-Child Relationship (134) between David and the troubled daughter he left behind, and it’s this recognizably human story within the morally gray world of Espionage (118) that gives the show its beating heart. David and daughter Rebecca must work to overcome a Troubled Past (131) full of Trauma & Tragedy (111) in order to truly reconnect; at the same time, Rebecca’s talent as an assassin and loyalty to her father’s sworn Archenemy (111)–the manipulative head of the spy organization–infinitely complicates their reunion. Audiences are leaning forward to root for their touching connection and see how their relationship will ultimately unfold. In addition, these same themes that play into the show’s bingeability are also driving its longevity and will help propel the story forward if Butterfly is renewed for another season.

How does the show’s social buzz look? 
Very strong. Online activity rocketed to the top of our buzz meter (at 160) with the August 13 release of the full six-episode season and has consistently remained there in the three weeks since. Such a promising start suggests the show will have legs, as viewers post and tweet about the showstopping action, dangerous spy missions, and central father-daughter relationship.

What’s standing out about the show in South Korea? 
The spy genre. Set and filmed on location in Seoul and across the country, Butterfly provides an authentic look at the vibrancy and beauty of South Korea. However, while this setting stands out as a major ratings draw in the US, it’s unsurprisingly much less of a distinctive selling point in its home market (Cultural Diversity, KR 91). Instead, Korean audiences are expected to be pulled in by the show’s clever spycraft and Espionage (KR 120) trappings–much more so than the tense Action & Violence (KR 94) that’s the #1 driver for Americans.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

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Rapid Insights: ‘Outlander: Blood of My Blood’ Proves Table-Stakes IP Opens the Door to Fresh Appeal

Starz recently debuted a compelling spin-off to its historical romance drama Outlander that’s so promising it’s already been renewed for a second season. This new show serves as a prequel to the original series, tracing how the parents of Outlander’s storied couple originally came together–one pair in 18th century Scotland, the other in WWI-era England.

Here’s what you need to know about Outlander: Blood of My Blood:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Is the same Outlander audience watching this new spin-off? 
Definitely. For Blood of My Blood, we’re seeing a viewership that skews heavily toward women (64%) and those 35+ (96%)–a near exact match for the original Outlander (65% women / 91% aged 35+). This audience profile fits much more closely with other romance-forward dramas like BridgertonWhen Calls the Heart, and Virgin River than period-piece sagas like Game of ThronesVikingsThe White Queen, or The Tudors, which tend to be more gender-balanced.

What is this new prequel carrying over from the original Outlander? 
An epic love story that crosses time. Blood of My Blood follows in its predecessor’s footsteps by transporting a disoriented English character from the mid-20th century into 18th-century Scotland through a formation of mystical standing stones (Time Travel, 129). Both shows then delve into the ins and outs of the complex Scottish clan dynamics of the period (Family Relationships, 129) while its lead characters fight against terrible odds to stay together (Falling in Love, 118). However, while Outlander tracks only one pair (Claire and Jamie), Blood of My Blood follows two–their parents: after producing Claire, a very-much-in-love married English couple must move heaven and earth to find each other again after passing through the stones, all while inadvertently helping Jamie’s Scottish parents to meet and fall in love for the first time. These basic bones of such a timeless story are top viewership drivers for both series.

What’s different from the original Outlander? 
The IP’s trappings are now table stakes. In addition to its core love story, Outlander’s popularity originally hinged on its fascinating depiction of a brutal era in Scottish history (British Culture, 121; Non-US Setting, 127) as well as its deliciously spicy (Sexual Activity, 114) adaptation of a blockbuster romance novel (Based on a Book, 114); all four of these key drivers were crucial to the show’s success, particularly its longevity. While these elements are equally present in Blood of My Blood, however, they no longer appear in the spin-off’s list of top drivers, suggesting pre-set viewer expectations. Fans already know the prequel will give them exactly what they want in terms of setting and sex, and so they’re no longer the draws they once were; audiences instead may be looking for Blood of My Blood to distinguish itself in a different way.

What’s helping to distinguish Blood of My Blood as its own show? 
Action and intensity. While Outlander’s first season offered up plenty of stressful violence to offset its sweet romance, the Scary Situations (130) in its prequel are more immediately prominent from the very first episode, driving both ratings and bingeability in a way they didn’t for the original series. Blood of My Blood opens on a period of warfare in two eras: the bombs and mustard gas of WWI and a bitter, bloody Rivalry (116) between Scottish clans in 1714. Larger scenes of Battle Action (121) as well as the everyday life-or-death dangers (Life in Danger, 121) inherent to the era–especially when one core couple comes from warring clans, Romeo and Juliet-style–is creating an especially tense emotional ride characterized by Vigilance (123)Anger (120)Terror (112), and Fear (111). The English couple’s desperate attempts to reunite in a strange land and era (A Missing Loved One, 117) add an original twist to the suspense as well; while Jamie’s Scottish family history is described in the Outlander novels, Claire’s parents’ story is new for the TV shows.

How is the new show’s social tracking? 
Stellar. Online activity for Blood of My Blood jumped to an “outstanding” level (peaking at 137) with its mid-July trailer drop, then rose again in the two weeks leading up to its early August premiere. The show ultimately maxed out our buzz meter (at 160) and now continues to hover near the top of the range. Outlander saw a parallel rise in chatter at the exact same time, likely spurred by fans comparing the established canon and characters of the original series to those in the new prequel.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

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Rapid Insights: ‘Alien: Earth’ Exposes the Hidden Rule That Makes TV Horror Scarier Than Film

Last week, FX on Hulu premiered the first TV series in the Alien film franchise and it’s already racking up both critical and viewer acclaim. Set two years before the 1979 film Alien and fifteen years after 2012 prequel Prometheus, this new sci-fi horror-thriller follows what happens after a deep space research vessel, loaded with dangerous specimens, crash-lands on Earth.

Here’s what you need to know about Alien: Earth:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s tuning in for this suspenseful new series? 
We’re seeing a viewership profile that’s heavily skewed toward men (59%) and those aged 35+ (85%). That’s roughly in line with horror-tinged sci-fi thriller series like 3 Body Problem, but significantly older and more gender-balanced than the theatrical audience who bought tickets for 2024’s Alien: Romulus (71% men / 46% aged 35+).

Why are viewers adding Alien: Earth to their queue? 
For its slow-burn tension and escalating dread. Rather than building toward one climactic showdown like the films, the series stretches horror across multiple episodes, layering Scary Situations (128)Psychological Turmoil (123), and life-or-death High Stakes (119) into a rolling drip-feed of fear, fueled by the intense horror sequences that have become synonymous with the film franchise. The trailer offers a tantalizing glimpse at the alien Dark Secrets (125) harbored within the crash-landed research vessel. Viewers are leaning into this episodic structure of Rage (123)Fear (118)Terror (115), and Surprise (115) to keep their hearts pounding and their curiosity stoked.

What’s making the show so addictingly bingeworthy? 
Futurism. Alien: Earth continues to expand on its franchise’s Distinctly Realized World (111), fleshing out the bleak situation on Earth in the 22nd century (IP Extension, 114). During the time Ripley is on the Nostromo, all of Earth is run by five all-powerful, out-of-control megacorporations pursuing avant-garde technologies and revolutionary Science (118) no matter the cost–including the first human-synthetic hybrid: a child’s consciousness in an android’s adult body. It’s these corporations’ rabid greed that ultimately unleashes the universe’s most dangerous organisms (Alien Lifeforms, 138)–including everyone’s favorite face-huggers–on an unsuspecting populace, with only a small team of armed androids (Military Operation, 116) sent to contain them. Audiences will want to keep watching to see how these futuristic storylines play out.

How does the show’s social buzz look? 
Out of this world. The early June trailer drop caused a sudden five-day spike in online activity around the series, maxing out our meter at (160). A second trailer in mid-July rekindled chatter, which jumped into the “outstanding” range, impressively hitting the top of our measuring stick (at 160) a full week before its premiere, where it has remained ever since. Online conversation is centered not only on the show’s nail-biting suspense but also on how it cleverly serializes the iconic Alien terror for a TV format.

What will help propel Alien: Earth into a second season? The clash between alien threats and human survival. Season one spotlights Earth’s terrifying first contact with deadly species and humanity’s struggle under megacorporate control. But TV horror thrives on escalation, and future seasons can raise the dread with new revelations, reversals, and fragile alliances. Themes of Survival Skills (120)Vengeance (118), and Idealism (113) give the series strong engines for longevity and sustained viewer engagement.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

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Rapid Insights: ‘Chief of War’ Spotlights Why Authentic Worlds Drive Binge Appeal

Apple TV+ recently premiered an historical epic drama that’s receiving raves from critics and viewers alike and already has the makings of an instant smash hit. Created by and starring Jason Momoa, this new limited series traces the late 18th-century unification of the Hawaiian Islands from an indigenous perspective, and it’s being widely praised for its authenticity.

Here’s what you need to know about Chief of War:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Who’s been tuning in for this exciting new period saga? 
We’re seeing an audience that tips only slightly toward men (53%) and heavily toward those aged 35+ (82%)–a much more gender-balanced profile than similar male-led, action-heavy epics. Previous shows like VikingsVikings: ValhallaRome, The Last Kingdom, Spartacus, Shōgun, and Frontier have tended to skew much more markedly toward men (56-68% on streaming) because of their violence and scenes of war. Chief of War may be bringing in more women thanks to its focus on tightknit community bonds within the Hawai‘ian kingdoms and a number of strong female secondary characters.

Why are viewers checking out this show? 
For its intensity and suspense. Chief of War follows reluctant warrior chief Kaʻiana (Jason Momoa) as he forges a brutal campaign to unite the warring kingdoms of Hawai‘i, Kaua‘i, Maui, and O‘ahu against an onslaught of invading white European colonizers. Though at heart a man of peace, Kaʻiana nevertheless steps up in his people’s time of need (Heroism, 118), putting his own Life in Danger (134) over and over to save the many, even as he longs to return to his tranquil family life (Lifestyle Change, 128). To accomplish his aims, the hero must carefully navigate rival factions, bloody power struggles, complicated inter-kingdom politics, life-or-death Scary Situations (160), and plenty of spears-vs-muskets Battle Action (141), all of which amp up the show’s excitement and stakes.

What’s keeping audiences hooked? 
Kaʻiana’s own Journey of Self Discovery (130). Early in Chief of War, Kaʻiana travels far from the Hawai‘ian Islands, accompanying a group of European sailors across the seas, visiting global trading posts, and learning English; when he discovers that his people are in danger from similar invaders, he finds himself uniquely suited to lead their defense. As he weighs stepping into an important position of Leadership (132), kicking off a major Power Struggle (122), and being forced to take stock of his allies (Trust & Loyalty, 128), the warrior must decide what role he will ultimately play in the struggle for the Islands’ future. The fact that Kaʻiana’s story is very authentically Based on Historical Events (125)–Kaʻiana was indeed a real person, and scenes with his people even use the Ōlelo Hawai‘i native language–makes his journey that much more compelling, and a crucial driver of bingeability.

What type of emotional experience is the show promising? 
A visceral one. A host of intense negative emotions are helping to drive ratings, as they perfectly capture the edge-of-your-seat tension that’s initially pulling viewers into the show: Aggressiveness (128)Anger (128)Fear (124)Surprise (120)Terror (117). Bingeability, on the other hand, is accompanied by a more mixed emotional response, as audiences react to the highs and lows of Kaʻiana’s story: Loathing (128) at the bloodthirsty colonizers, Awe (116) at his heroism, and a sense of acceptance and Submission (126) before the rising winds of great change that cannot be stopped.

How is the show’s social buzz? 
Very strong. The mid-July trailer drop caused an “outstanding”-level spike in online activity (peaking at 143) and early anticipation for the pilot started to build a week later, with our social buzz meter climbing steadily from “average” to “promising” to “outstanding” in advance of the show’s premiere. Apple’s release of the first two episodes on August 1 cemented its buzzworthiness, maxing out our meter (at 160) and remaining there ever since. Viewers are posting and tweeting about the show’s authentic portrayal of the Hawai‘ian people (A Subculture Up Close, 118), their traditions, and their communities (Family Legacy, 116) as well as about chief Kaʻiana’s own story and struggles.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: ‘Dexter: Resurrection’ Shows Why a Strong Sequel Lifts Every Chapter of a Series

America’s favorite serial killer is back in Showtime’s newest entry in the mega-successful Dexter franchise. However, rather than a spin-off, this new show continues the very same story begun in the original Dexter, continued through the limited series Dexter: New Blood, and set up in the prequel Dexter: Original SinDexter: Resurrection follows the popular antihero through New York City in pursuit of his missing son as the threat of his past finally starts to catch up.

Here’s what you need to know about Dexter: Resurrection:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

Is the same Dexter audience tuning in for this new revival? 
Yes and no. All four of the existing Dexter series show a roughly even gender split (for Resurrection: 47% men / 53% women) and heavily favor viewers 35+ (for Resurrection: 78%). However, the original series premiered back in 2006, meaning that fans watching the pilot live on Showtime are 19 years older now in 2025; thus, the 22% of the Resurrection audience that’s aged <35 today suggests that the franchise has picked up a considerable base of new and younger fans in the years since.

How important is the Dexter brand to the success of Resurrection? 
Extremely. Resurrection picks up shortly after the finale events in the New Blood limited series, in which (spoiler alert!) the titular antihero was shot and seemingly killed. Fans of Dexter Morgan are undoubtedly flocking to this sequel to see how he survived and where his story will go next. The fact that Resurrection is an IP Extension (137) is its #1 overall viewership driver, and the storytelling tools that have become closely associated with the franchise (Dexter’s snarky Voice-Over Narration, 122; serial killer Murder Violence, 124; deeper themes around Father-Child Relationships, 125) are also crucial audience draws.

What’s setting this new Resurrection series apart? 
Dexter’s arc. In Dexter, the character hid in plain sight as part of the Miami PD, maintaining a clean façade to hide his lethal extracurriculars; in New Blood, he hid out of sight in an isolated small town, avoiding anyone who might recognize him from the past. Now, in Resurrection, our favorite killer’s no longer quite so hidden, luridly embracing his antisocial Dark Passenger (Fish Out of Water, 122) in vibrant New York City (NYC Setting, 113), all while Being Hunted (120) by an old Miami coworker who finally knows what he’s capable of. The now-Captain Angel Batista–a mainstay of the original series–at last suspects Dexter of being the notorious Bay Harbor Butcher (Murder Suspect, 125) from all those years ago and is hot on his heels, injecting this series with a larger dose of Anticipation (118) and Terror (116) compared to its predecessors. These new pieces to Dexter’s journey are particularly boosting Resurrection’s ratings and potential longevity.

How is Resurrection’s social buzz? 
Absolutely killing it. The late-May trailer spiked social chatter to the top of our buzz meter (at 160) for several days; online activity shot back up only a month later–an entire two weeks before the show’s premiere–and has stayed up there ever since, with no dips at all in the weeks between new episodes. And Resurrection’s rising tide has indeed lifted all boats, as the other shows in the Dexter canon have also seen major uplifts. Both the original Dexter and New Blood have been sitting steadily at (160) since late May, and Original Sin has been hovering in the “outstanding” buzz range since mid-July. Fans of the franchise are likely comparing and contrasting and discussing earlier plot points, given how intertwined the storylines are across all four series.

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

Rapid Insights: ‘Countdown,’ ‘Ballard,’ and ‘Smoke’ Reveal How Procedurals Hook Viewers Beyond the Case

Three gripping new west-coast-set crime thrillers have premiered on streaming outlets in recent weeks, and all three have been racking up views and generating considerable online buzz. Amazon Prime Video’s Countdown and Ballard and Apple TV+’s Smoke all focus on dedicated investigators–two teams in Los Angeles, one in the Pacific Northwest–determined to solve increasingly urgent cases and save lives, whether that means stopping a city-destroying WMD, a long-active serial killer, or a few serial arsonists. However, while all three play in the same genre sandbox, each offers up a very different take on their central criminal investigations thanks to different tones, themes, and character archetypes.

Here’s what you need to know about these three new titles:

Vault AI uses index scores to describe the impact a given story/theme/element will have on specific KPIs: 
≤79 Disappointing  80-89 Challenging  90-109 Average  110-119 Promising  120+ Outstanding

What’s pulling viewers into Countdown? 
A high-octane undercover team. Countdown takes an action-forward approach to its crime-solving, punctuating its many thrilling scenes of Action & Violence (144) with moments of humor to keep the tone light and fun. The series follows a band of covert operatives from different law enforcement agencies all Working Undercover (119) to stop a nuclear bomb from detonating in America’s second largest city. Audiences are tuning in for their breathtaking Heroism (136) and Teamwork (125) as well as the sharp, playful Co-worker Relationships (134) and Unlikely Friendships (115) that develop among the mismatched group.

What’s making Ballard so compelling? 
Solving crimes in a familiar universe. A spin-off of the mega-successful Bosch and also based on a Michael Connelly novel series, Ballard follows LAPD Detective Renée Ballard as she delves into a series of unsolved cold-case murders (Solving A Murder, 130; Death Theme, 120) and uncovers a far-reaching web of police corruption and cover-ups. The show’s ties to Bosch (IP Extension, 146)–the popular titular character even cameos in the trailer (Returning Character, 125)–are its #1 viewership driver, and audiences are leaning into Ballard’s similarly-themed Police Procedural (125) elements and complex, darker tone.

What’s setting Smoke apart? 
Ambiguity, suspicion, and the potential for twists. From author Dennis Lehane, Smoke was inspired by a true-crime podcast and follows a pair of troubled investigators–one a police detective, the other with the fire department–who reluctantly Team Up (131) to stop a pair of serial arsonists (Criminal Investigation, 152; Fighting Crime, 135) before they can kill again. The show’s big hook is its enigmatic arson investigator (Mysterious Character, 117), who falls Under Suspicion (129) and becomes a major suspect in his own case. The possibility that he’s hiding Dark Secrets (130) and putting others’ Lives in Danger (133)–including his police partner–creates heavy tension and suspense and is keeping viewers glued to their seats.

How are these shows doing in terms of online chatter? 
Great. All three immediately rocketed to the top of our social buzz meter (at 160) upon their premieres and held that level consistently for two full weeks post-release. Since then, Countdown and Smoke, both on a weekly roll-out schedule, have seen a bit of a drop between new episodes but have nevertheless stayed in “outstanding”-level territory; Ballard, whose full first season was released all at once, has remained at (160) since its drop, with no variation

Introducing Genre DNA™


Redefine your understanding of TV subgenres

Introducing Genre DNA™ – TV subgenres redefined by groundbreaking AI analysis to reveal the true drivers of viewership.

See the insights that others can’t

Genre DNA™ goes beyond traditional TV genre classifications by analyzing over 1,000 scripted and unscripted series on both linear and SVOD platforms from the last 5 years.

Each Vault Genre DNA™ report offers a precise analysis of your chosen TV subgenre, uncovering its unique drivers of viewership.

*Publicly released trailers for series are evaluated using Vault’s algorithms – utilizing our proprietary 120K+ story element database alongside viewership performance and other datasets – to identify unique combinations of stories, themes, characters, and genre elements that will drive success.

Stay in the know

Subscribe to get Rapid Insights delivered to your inbox or follow us on LinkedIn

Past Rapid Insights: Miss one? Check out previous issues here

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